Drier southwest monsoon conditions and subseasonal outlooks from Singapore’s Meteorological Service and NEA are the main drivers positioning 33°C as the market’s leading outcome at 56.5% implied probability. Persistent below-normal rainfall across the southern ASEAN region through late August is reducing cloud cover and allowing greater solar heating, consistent with observed peaks near 34–35°C at some stations earlier in the month and typical mid-August climatology of 31–33°C under similar patterns. Moderate El Niño influences further support slightly elevated maxima while limiting convective cooling. Short-range model updates and official daily forecasts over the next 48 hours will be the key variables that could shift consensus toward 32°C or 34°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Singapore on August 22?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 22?
33°C 57%
32°C 21%
34°C 19%
31°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
21%
33°C
57%
34°C
19%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 57%
32°C 21%
34°C 19%
31°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
28°C or below
$191 KL.
<1%
29°C
$35 KL.
<1%
30°C
$15 KL.
1%
31°C
$0 KL.
4%
32°C
$53 KL.
21%
33°C
$331 KL.
57%
34°C
$102 KL.
19%
35°C
$0 KL.
2%
36°C
$16 KL.
1%
37°C
$127 KL.
<1%
38°C or higher
$191 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Drier southwest monsoon conditions and subseasonal outlooks from Singapore’s Meteorological Service and NEA are the main drivers positioning 33°C as the market’s leading outcome at 56.5% implied probability. Persistent below-normal rainfall across the southern ASEAN region through late August is reducing cloud cover and allowing greater solar heating, consistent with observed peaks near 34–35°C at some stations earlier in the month and typical mid-August climatology of 31–33°C under similar patterns. Moderate El Niño influences further support slightly elevated maxima while limiting convective cooling. Short-range model updates and official daily forecasts over the next 48 hours will be the key variables that could shift consensus toward 32°C or 34°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,060Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Drier southwest monsoon conditions and subseasonal outlooks from Singapore’s Meteorological Service and NEA are the main drivers positioning 33°C as the market’s leading outcome at 56.5% implied probability. Persistent below-normal rainfall across the southern ASEAN region through late August is reducing cloud cover and allowing greater solar heating, consistent with observed peaks near 34–35°C at some stations earlier in the month and typical mid-August climatology of 31–33°C under similar patterns. Moderate El Niño influences further support slightly elevated maxima while limiting convective cooling. Short-range model updates and official daily forecasts over the next 48 hours will be the key variables that could shift consensus toward 32°C or 34°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,060Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Drier southwest monsoon conditions and subseasonal outlooks from Singapore’s Meteorological Service and NEA are the main drivers positioning 33°C as the market’s leading outcome at 56.5% implied probability. Persistent below-normal rainfall across the southern ASEAN region through late August is reducing cloud cover and allowing greater solar heating, consistent with observed peaks near 34–35°C at some stations earlier in the month and typical mid-August climatology of 31–33°C under similar patterns. Moderate El Niño influences further support slightly elevated maxima while limiting convective cooling. Short-range model updates and official daily forecasts over the next 48 hours will be the key variables that could shift consensus toward 32°C or 34°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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