Recent forecasts from MetService, Met Office, and other models indicate a daytime high near 12°C for Wellington on August 20, consistent with near-average winter conditions per NIWA outlooks, following a period of cooler southerly flows and above-average temperatures earlier in the month. Trader consensus splits narrowly between 12°C and 13°C because small differences in forecast wind shifts across Cook Strait, cloud cover, or frontal timing can alter peak readings by 1°C. Southerly winds typically suppress maxima while northwesterlies allow slight warming, and model spread on these variables sustains the tight 46-42% implied probabilities. Updated official guidance on the 19th will likely refine resolution criteria for this short-term temperature market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on August 20?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 20?
12°C 47%
13°C 46%
11°C 6%
15°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 20, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
5%
11°C
6%
12°C
47%
13°C
46%
14°C
3%
15°C
6%
16°C or higher
1%
12°C 47%
13°C 46%
11°C 6%
15°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 20, 2026
6°C or below
$196 KL.
<1%
7°C
$196 KL.
<1%
8°C
$50 KL.
<1%
9°C
$20 KL.
<1%
10°C
$18 KL.
5%
11°C
$30 KL.
6%
12°C
$176 KL.
47%
13°C
$33 KL.
46%
14°C
$11 KL.
3%
15°C
$5 KL.
6%
16°C or higher
$17 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService, Met Office, and other models indicate a daytime high near 12°C for Wellington on August 20, consistent with near-average winter conditions per NIWA outlooks, following a period of cooler southerly flows and above-average temperatures earlier in the month. Trader consensus splits narrowly between 12°C and 13°C because small differences in forecast wind shifts across Cook Strait, cloud cover, or frontal timing can alter peak readings by 1°C. Southerly winds typically suppress maxima while northwesterlies allow slight warming, and model spread on these variables sustains the tight 46-42% implied probabilities. Updated official guidance on the 19th will likely refine resolution criteria for this short-term temperature market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$751Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService, Met Office, and other models indicate a daytime high near 12°C for Wellington on August 20, consistent with near-average winter conditions per NIWA outlooks, following a period of cooler southerly flows and above-average temperatures earlier in the month. Trader consensus splits narrowly between 12°C and 13°C because small differences in forecast wind shifts across Cook Strait, cloud cover, or frontal timing can alter peak readings by 1°C. Southerly winds typically suppress maxima while northwesterlies allow slight warming, and model spread on these variables sustains the tight 46-42% implied probabilities. Updated official guidance on the 19th will likely refine resolution criteria for this short-term temperature market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$751Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService, Met Office, and other models indicate a daytime high near 12°C for Wellington on August 20, consistent with near-average winter conditions per NIWA outlooks, following a period of cooler southerly flows and above-average temperatures earlier in the month. Trader consensus splits narrowly between 12°C and 13°C because small differences in forecast wind shifts across Cook Strait, cloud cover, or frontal timing can alter peak readings by 1°C. Southerly winds typically suppress maxima while northwesterlies allow slight warming, and model spread on these variables sustains the tight 46-42% implied probabilities. Updated official guidance on the 19th will likely refine resolution criteria for this short-term temperature market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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