Recent atmospheric patterns, including southerly winds and residual effects from a polar air mass, are keeping Wellington's temperatures below the seasonal average high of roughly 13°C for mid-August. Official forecasts from MetService and similar agencies currently indicate a daytime maximum near 10–12°C on August 19, with limited warming expected under partly cloudy skies and moderate winds. The tight clustering of market-implied odds across 8–12°C reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs regarding exact peak timing, cloud cover, and wind strength, all of which can shift the daily high by several degrees. Newer guidance closer to the date will refine these variables and likely concentrate probabilities further.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on August 19?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 19?
11°C 44%
10°C 30%
12°C 15%
8°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
5°C or below
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
10%
9°C
5%
10°C
30%
11°C
44%
12°C
15%
13°C
3%
14°C
6%
15°C or higher
4%
11°C 44%
10°C 30%
12°C 15%
8°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
5°C or below
$5 KL.
1%
6°C
$5 KL.
1%
7°C
$5 KL.
1%
8°C
$5 KL.
10%
9°C
$0 KL.
5%
10°C
$0 KL.
30%
11°C
$0 KL.
44%
12°C
$0 KL.
15%
13°C
$0 KL.
3%
14°C
$5 KL.
6%
15°C or higher
$5 KL.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric patterns, including southerly winds and residual effects from a polar air mass, are keeping Wellington's temperatures below the seasonal average high of roughly 13°C for mid-August. Official forecasts from MetService and similar agencies currently indicate a daytime maximum near 10–12°C on August 19, with limited warming expected under partly cloudy skies and moderate winds. The tight clustering of market-implied odds across 8–12°C reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs regarding exact peak timing, cloud cover, and wind strength, all of which can shift the daily high by several degrees. Newer guidance closer to the date will refine these variables and likely concentrate probabilities further.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$30Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric patterns, including southerly winds and residual effects from a polar air mass, are keeping Wellington's temperatures below the seasonal average high of roughly 13°C for mid-August. Official forecasts from MetService and similar agencies currently indicate a daytime maximum near 10–12°C on August 19, with limited warming expected under partly cloudy skies and moderate winds. The tight clustering of market-implied odds across 8–12°C reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs regarding exact peak timing, cloud cover, and wind strength, all of which can shift the daily high by several degrees. Newer guidance closer to the date will refine these variables and likely concentrate probabilities further.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$30Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent atmospheric patterns, including southerly winds and residual effects from a polar air mass, are keeping Wellington's temperatures below the seasonal average high of roughly 13°C for mid-August. Official forecasts from MetService and similar agencies currently indicate a daytime maximum near 10–12°C on August 19, with limited warming expected under partly cloudy skies and moderate winds. The tight clustering of market-implied odds across 8–12°C reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs regarding exact peak timing, cloud cover, and wind strength, all of which can shift the daily high by several degrees. Newer guidance closer to the date will refine these variables and likely concentrate probabilities further.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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