Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate overnight lows near 27–28°C on August 17 amid typical mid-August southwesterly monsoon flow, scattered showers, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. This keeps trader consensus tightly clustered on 26–28°C outcomes, reflecting model agreement on minimal overnight drops while accounting for potential variability from cloud breaks or localized rain timing. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provide broader context, yet short-term steering patterns and any weak tropical disturbance could shift the minimum by 1°C, explaining the near-even split among leading probabilities. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 17?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 17?
28°C 46%
27°C 31%
26°C 24%
29°C 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
24%
27°C
31%
28°C
37%
29°C
19%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 46%
27°C 31%
26°C 24%
29°C 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 17, 2026
23°C or below
$27 KL.
<1%
24°C
$15 KL.
1%
25°C
$86 KL.
6%
26°C
$52 KL.
24%
27°C
$7 KL.
31%
28°C
$40 KL.
37%
29°C
$2 KL.
19%
30°C
$6 KL.
3%
31°C
$10 KL.
1%
32°C
$491 KL.
<1%
33°C or higher
$941 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate overnight lows near 27–28°C on August 17 amid typical mid-August southwesterly monsoon flow, scattered showers, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. This keeps trader consensus tightly clustered on 26–28°C outcomes, reflecting model agreement on minimal overnight drops while accounting for potential variability from cloud breaks or localized rain timing. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provide broader context, yet short-term steering patterns and any weak tropical disturbance could shift the minimum by 1°C, explaining the near-even split among leading probabilities. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,678Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate overnight lows near 27–28°C on August 17 amid typical mid-August southwesterly monsoon flow, scattered showers, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. This keeps trader consensus tightly clustered on 26–28°C outcomes, reflecting model agreement on minimal overnight drops while accounting for potential variability from cloud breaks or localized rain timing. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provide broader context, yet short-term steering patterns and any weak tropical disturbance could shift the minimum by 1°C, explaining the near-even split among leading probabilities. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$1,678Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate overnight lows near 27–28°C on August 17 amid typical mid-August southwesterly monsoon flow, scattered showers, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. This keeps trader consensus tightly clustered on 26–28°C outcomes, reflecting model agreement on minimal overnight drops while accounting for potential variability from cloud breaks or localized rain timing. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provide broader context, yet short-term steering patterns and any weak tropical disturbance could shift the minimum by 1°C, explaining the near-even split among leading probabilities. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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