Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate daytime highs near 32°C on August 15 amid a broad low-pressure trough favoring showers and high humidity, following the city's record 36.9°C on August 10 driven by Typhoon Dolphin. Seasonal outlooks project normal to above-normal temperatures overall, with urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover creating narrow margins between 31°C and 33°C outcomes. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential due to steering winds and possible rain cooling surfaces, while traders weigh short-term updates on precipitation timing against historical August averages around 31–32°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
32°C 37%
31°C 26%
33°C 18%
30°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
13%
31°C
26%
32°C
37%
33°C
18%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 37%
31°C 26%
33°C 18%
30°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
$843 KL.
1%
28°C
$789 KL.
1%
29°C
$1,143 KL.
6%
30°C
$1,278 KL.
13%
31°C
$888 KL.
26%
32°C
$778 KL.
37%
33°C
$1,557 KL.
18%
34°C
$437 KL.
5%
35°C
$381 KL.
2%
36°C
$358 KL.
<1%
37°C or higher
$649 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate daytime highs near 32°C on August 15 amid a broad low-pressure trough favoring showers and high humidity, following the city's record 36.9°C on August 10 driven by Typhoon Dolphin. Seasonal outlooks project normal to above-normal temperatures overall, with urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover creating narrow margins between 31°C and 33°C outcomes. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential due to steering winds and possible rain cooling surfaces, while traders weigh short-term updates on precipitation timing against historical August averages around 31–32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,100Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate daytime highs near 32°C on August 15 amid a broad low-pressure trough favoring showers and high humidity, following the city's record 36.9°C on August 10 driven by Typhoon Dolphin. Seasonal outlooks project normal to above-normal temperatures overall, with urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover creating narrow margins between 31°C and 33°C outcomes. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential due to steering winds and possible rain cooling surfaces, while traders weigh short-term updates on precipitation timing against historical August averages around 31–32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$9,100Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate daytime highs near 32°C on August 15 amid a broad low-pressure trough favoring showers and high humidity, following the city's record 36.9°C on August 10 driven by Typhoon Dolphin. Seasonal outlooks project normal to above-normal temperatures overall, with urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover creating narrow margins between 31°C and 33°C outcomes. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential due to steering winds and possible rain cooling surfaces, while traders weigh short-term updates on precipitation timing against historical August averages around 31–32°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp