Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirmed a daily minimum of 26°C on August 15, 2026, aligning with typical summer nocturnal temperatures under prevailing subtropical conditions. Regional station data showed overnight lows clustered near 26–27°C amid light winds, high humidity near 80 percent, and minimal cloud cover that limited radiative cooling. Trader consensus at near-100 percent on this outcome reflects the alignment between forecast models and verified readings, with August climatology rarely deviating below 25°C absent unusual frontal activity. A revised station calibration or overlooked microclimate dip could theoretically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain improbable given the dense observational network.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
26°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$44,298 KL.
$44,298 KL.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$44,298 KL.
$44,298 KL.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirmed a daily minimum of 26°C on August 15, 2026, aligning with typical summer nocturnal temperatures under prevailing subtropical conditions. Regional station data showed overnight lows clustered near 26–27°C amid light winds, high humidity near 80 percent, and minimal cloud cover that limited radiative cooling. Trader consensus at near-100 percent on this outcome reflects the alignment between forecast models and verified readings, with August climatology rarely deviating below 25°C absent unusual frontal activity. A revised station calibration or overlooked microclimate dip could theoretically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain improbable given the dense observational network.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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