Short-range numerical weather prediction models show moderate spread in projected daily maximum temperatures for Guangzhou on August 17, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36 °C. Subtropical monsoon conditions typical for mid-August—high humidity, variable cloud cover from afternoon convection, and weak steering flows—make peak readings sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or upper-level ridging. Historical August averages near 32 °C provide context, yet recent model runs highlight potential for slight intensification under clearer skies or suppression from increased rainfall. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS updates, which will refine land-surface heating and wind patterns before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 17?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 17?
35°C 31%
36°C 28%
34°C 24%
37°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 17, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
8%
33°C
10%
34°C
24%
35°C
31%
36°C
28%
37°C
11%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 31%
36°C 28%
34°C 24%
37°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 17, 2026
29°C or below
$1 KL.
1%
30°C
$1 KL.
1%
31°C
$1 KL.
1%
32°C
$32 KL.
8%
33°C
$73 KL.
10%
34°C
$12 KL.
24%
35°C
$0 KL.
31%
36°C
$3 KL.
28%
37°C
$1 KL.
11%
38°C
$11 KL.
4%
39°C or higher
$36 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range numerical weather prediction models show moderate spread in projected daily maximum temperatures for Guangzhou on August 17, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36 °C. Subtropical monsoon conditions typical for mid-August—high humidity, variable cloud cover from afternoon convection, and weak steering flows—make peak readings sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or upper-level ridging. Historical August averages near 32 °C provide context, yet recent model runs highlight potential for slight intensification under clearer skies or suppression from increased rainfall. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS updates, which will refine land-surface heating and wind patterns before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
Khối lượng
$171Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range numerical weather prediction models show moderate spread in projected daily maximum temperatures for Guangzhou on August 17, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36 °C. Subtropical monsoon conditions typical for mid-August—high humidity, variable cloud cover from afternoon convection, and weak steering flows—make peak readings sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or upper-level ridging. Historical August averages near 32 °C provide context, yet recent model runs highlight potential for slight intensification under clearer skies or suppression from increased rainfall. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS updates, which will refine land-surface heating and wind patterns before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$171Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range numerical weather prediction models show moderate spread in projected daily maximum temperatures for Guangzhou on August 17, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36 °C. Subtropical monsoon conditions typical for mid-August—high humidity, variable cloud cover from afternoon convection, and weak steering flows—make peak readings sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or upper-level ridging. Historical August averages near 32 °C provide context, yet recent model runs highlight potential for slight intensification under clearer skies or suppression from increased rainfall. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS updates, which will refine land-surface heating and wind patterns before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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