Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum of 26–27°C in Istanbul on August 17 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly winds. These conditions align with typical late-August Mediterranean patterns, where cooler Black Sea and Bosphorus sea breezes, combined with regional northerly flow, moderate urban heating and limit peaks near the long-term average high of 28°C. Recent model runs show stable guidance with low precipitation risk and no significant warm advection, keeping the market-implied probability concentrated on 26°C (53.5%) and 27°C (32.5%). Official resolution will depend on the precise recorded high at the designated station, with minor forecast adjustments possible from the final overnight update.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 17?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 17?
26°C 54%
27°C 33%
25°C 9%
28°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
54%
27°C
33%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 54%
27°C 33%
25°C 9%
28°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 17, 2026
21°C or below
$274 KL.
<1%
22°C
$202 KL.
1%
23°C
$100 KL.
1%
24°C
$67 KL.
2%
25°C
$51 KL.
9%
26°C
$304 KL.
54%
27°C
$309 KL.
33%
28°C
$136 KL.
5%
29°C
$153 KL.
2%
30°C
$325 KL.
1%
31°C or higher
$1,060 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum of 26–27°C in Istanbul on August 17 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly winds. These conditions align with typical late-August Mediterranean patterns, where cooler Black Sea and Bosphorus sea breezes, combined with regional northerly flow, moderate urban heating and limit peaks near the long-term average high of 28°C. Recent model runs show stable guidance with low precipitation risk and no significant warm advection, keeping the market-implied probability concentrated on 26°C (53.5%) and 27°C (32.5%). Official resolution will depend on the precise recorded high at the designated station, with minor forecast adjustments possible from the final overnight update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,980Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum of 26–27°C in Istanbul on August 17 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly winds. These conditions align with typical late-August Mediterranean patterns, where cooler Black Sea and Bosphorus sea breezes, combined with regional northerly flow, moderate urban heating and limit peaks near the long-term average high of 28°C. Recent model runs show stable guidance with low precipitation risk and no significant warm advection, keeping the market-implied probability concentrated on 26°C (53.5%) and 27°C (32.5%). Official resolution will depend on the precise recorded high at the designated station, with minor forecast adjustments possible from the final overnight update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,980Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum of 26–27°C in Istanbul on August 17 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly winds. These conditions align with typical late-August Mediterranean patterns, where cooler Black Sea and Bosphorus sea breezes, combined with regional northerly flow, moderate urban heating and limit peaks near the long-term average high of 28°C. Recent model runs show stable guidance with low precipitation risk and no significant warm advection, keeping the market-implied probability concentrated on 26°C (53.5%) and 27°C (32.5%). Official resolution will depend on the precise recorded high at the designated station, with minor forecast adjustments possible from the final overnight update.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp