**Consensus forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daytime high near 30°C in Shanghai on August 16, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 30°C outcome (56.5% implied probability) and supporting 31°C (28.0%).** Subtropical monsoon conditions, including elevated humidity (around 70-80%) and passing showers with broken cloud cover, limit solar insolation and cap peak temperatures, as shown in extended outlooks from timeanddate.com and regional models projecting 30/25°C. Recent patterns of scattered thunderstorms on August 15 have cooled the air mass, reducing the chance of stronger heating needed for 32°C or higher. Official guidance emphasizes these factors over clearer-sky scenarios that could push readings toward historical August averages near 31-32°C. Updated model runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 16?
30°C 58%
31°C 27%
29°C 11%
28°C 4%
MỚI
$31,745 KL.
MỚI
$31,745 KL.
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
58%
31°C
27%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 58%
31°C 27%
29°C 11%
28°C 4%
MỚI
$31,745 KL.
MỚI
$31,745 KL.
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
$324 KL.
<1%
26°C
$293 KL.
<1%
27°C
$2,692 KL.
<1%
28°C
$2,827 KL.
4%
29°C
$5,658 KL.
11%
30°C
$4,753 KL.
58%
31°C
$8,048 KL.
27%
32°C
$3,565 KL.
4%
33°C
$2,053 KL.
1%
34°C
$1,178 KL.
<1%
35°C or higher
$353 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consensus forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daytime high near 30°C in Shanghai on August 16, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 30°C outcome (56.5% implied probability) and supporting 31°C (28.0%).** Subtropical monsoon conditions, including elevated humidity (around 70-80%) and passing showers with broken cloud cover, limit solar insolation and cap peak temperatures, as shown in extended outlooks from timeanddate.com and regional models projecting 30/25°C. Recent patterns of scattered thunderstorms on August 15 have cooled the air mass, reducing the chance of stronger heating needed for 32°C or higher. Official guidance emphasizes these factors over clearer-sky scenarios that could push readings toward historical August averages near 31-32°C. Updated model runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$31,745Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consensus forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daytime high near 30°C in Shanghai on August 16, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 30°C outcome (56.5% implied probability) and supporting 31°C (28.0%).** Subtropical monsoon conditions, including elevated humidity (around 70-80%) and passing showers with broken cloud cover, limit solar insolation and cap peak temperatures, as shown in extended outlooks from timeanddate.com and regional models projecting 30/25°C. Recent patterns of scattered thunderstorms on August 15 have cooled the air mass, reducing the chance of stronger heating needed for 32°C or higher. Official guidance emphasizes these factors over clearer-sky scenarios that could push readings toward historical August averages near 31-32°C. Updated model runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$31,745Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Consensus forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daytime high near 30°C in Shanghai on August 16, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 30°C outcome (56.5% implied probability) and supporting 31°C (28.0%).** Subtropical monsoon conditions, including elevated humidity (around 70-80%) and passing showers with broken cloud cover, limit solar insolation and cap peak temperatures, as shown in extended outlooks from timeanddate.com and regional models projecting 30/25°C. Recent patterns of scattered thunderstorms on August 15 have cooled the air mass, reducing the chance of stronger heating needed for 32°C or higher. Official guidance emphasizes these factors over clearer-sky scenarios that could push readings toward historical August averages near 31-32°C. Updated model runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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