Recent cooling after an early-August heat wave in northern France has shifted forecast models toward overnight lows of 16–18°C for Paris on August 17, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for 17°C and 18°C. Ensemble guidance from global models shows modest variability driven by differences in predicted cloud cover, light northerly flow, and any residual moisture that could limit radiational cooling under clearer skies. Historical August climatology places typical minimums near 15–17°C, providing context for why traders assign lower odds to outcomes below 16°C or above 19°C. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact threshold as the short-range forecast window narrows.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on August 17?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 17?
18°C 52%
17°C 20%
16°C or below 14%
19°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 17, 2026
16°C or below
14%
17°C
20%
18°C
52%
19°C
13%
20°C
5%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
18°C 52%
17°C 20%
16°C or below 14%
19°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 17, 2026
16°C or below
$52 KL.
14%
17°C
$726 KL.
20%
18°C
$106 KL.
52%
19°C
$140 KL.
13%
20°C
$17 KL.
5%
21°C
$11 KL.
2%
22°C
$5 KL.
1%
23°C
$10 KL.
5%
24°C
$10 KL.
5%
25°C
$5 KL.
<1%
26°C or higher
$5 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after an early-August heat wave in northern France has shifted forecast models toward overnight lows of 16–18°C for Paris on August 17, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for 17°C and 18°C. Ensemble guidance from global models shows modest variability driven by differences in predicted cloud cover, light northerly flow, and any residual moisture that could limit radiational cooling under clearer skies. Historical August climatology places typical minimums near 15–17°C, providing context for why traders assign lower odds to outcomes below 16°C or above 19°C. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact threshold as the short-range forecast window narrows.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$290Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after an early-August heat wave in northern France has shifted forecast models toward overnight lows of 16–18°C for Paris on August 17, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for 17°C and 18°C. Ensemble guidance from global models shows modest variability driven by differences in predicted cloud cover, light northerly flow, and any residual moisture that could limit radiational cooling under clearer skies. Historical August climatology places typical minimums near 15–17°C, providing context for why traders assign lower odds to outcomes below 16°C or above 19°C. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact threshold as the short-range forecast window narrows.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$290Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling after an early-August heat wave in northern France has shifted forecast models toward overnight lows of 16–18°C for Paris on August 17, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for 17°C and 18°C. Ensemble guidance from global models shows modest variability driven by differences in predicted cloud cover, light northerly flow, and any residual moisture that could limit radiational cooling under clearer skies. Historical August climatology places typical minimums near 15–17°C, providing context for why traders assign lower odds to outcomes below 16°C or above 19°C. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact threshold as the short-range forecast window narrows.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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