Current forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and local Saudi meteorological guidance indicate a daily maximum near 39–41°C for Jeddah on August 16, underpinning the 55.5% market-implied probability for 41°C or higher and 77% combined chance of at least 40°C. Persistent subtropical high pressure, typical of peak Red Sea summer climatology, maintains clear skies and weak steering winds that limit cooling, while historical August averages of 37–39°C and recent above-normal temperature anomalies reported by Saudi Arabia’s National Center for Meteorology further support elevated readings. Short-range model runs show limited spread, though any late increase in marine-layer moisture or unexpected cloud cover could shift outcomes toward the 39°C or 38°C bins before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 16?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 16?
41°C or higher 56%
40°C 22%
39°C 11%
38°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
3%
38°C
10%
39°C
11%
40°C
22%
41°C or higher
56%
41°C or higher 56%
40°C 22%
39°C 11%
38°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
31°C or below
$372 KL.
<1%
32°C
$372 KL.
<1%
33°C
$372 KL.
<1%
34°C
$96 KL.
<1%
35°C
$32 KL.
<1%
36°C
$18 KL.
<1%
37°C
$10 KL.
3%
38°C
$24 KL.
10%
39°C
$0 KL.
11%
40°C
$52 KL.
22%
41°C or higher
$77 KL.
56%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and local Saudi meteorological guidance indicate a daily maximum near 39–41°C for Jeddah on August 16, underpinning the 55.5% market-implied probability for 41°C or higher and 77% combined chance of at least 40°C. Persistent subtropical high pressure, typical of peak Red Sea summer climatology, maintains clear skies and weak steering winds that limit cooling, while historical August averages of 37–39°C and recent above-normal temperature anomalies reported by Saudi Arabia’s National Center for Meteorology further support elevated readings. Short-range model runs show limited spread, though any late increase in marine-layer moisture or unexpected cloud cover could shift outcomes toward the 39°C or 38°C bins before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,426Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and local Saudi meteorological guidance indicate a daily maximum near 39–41°C for Jeddah on August 16, underpinning the 55.5% market-implied probability for 41°C or higher and 77% combined chance of at least 40°C. Persistent subtropical high pressure, typical of peak Red Sea summer climatology, maintains clear skies and weak steering winds that limit cooling, while historical August averages of 37–39°C and recent above-normal temperature anomalies reported by Saudi Arabia’s National Center for Meteorology further support elevated readings. Short-range model runs show limited spread, though any late increase in marine-layer moisture or unexpected cloud cover could shift outcomes toward the 39°C or 38°C bins before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,426Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and local Saudi meteorological guidance indicate a daily maximum near 39–41°C for Jeddah on August 16, underpinning the 55.5% market-implied probability for 41°C or higher and 77% combined chance of at least 40°C. Persistent subtropical high pressure, typical of peak Red Sea summer climatology, maintains clear skies and weak steering winds that limit cooling, while historical August averages of 37–39°C and recent above-normal temperature anomalies reported by Saudi Arabia’s National Center for Meteorology further support elevated readings. Short-range model runs show limited spread, though any late increase in marine-layer moisture or unexpected cloud cover could shift outcomes toward the 39°C or 38°C bins before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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