Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on August 16 will likely peak near 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This positioning reflects a transitional air mass with modest warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, keeping daytime heating moderate rather than extreme for mid-August climatology. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because numerical guidance shows small spreads in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing, which directly control whether the daily high reaches or exceeds 25°C. Official observations from Moscow stations, verified against the resolution criteria, will capture the precise peak amid typical urban heat island effects of 1–2°C above rural surroundings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on August 16?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 16?
24°C 39%
25°C 30%
26°C 14%
23°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
12%
24°C
39%
25°C
30%
26°C
14%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 39%
25°C 30%
26°C 14%
23°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
20°C or below
$873 KL.
1%
21°C
$241 KL.
1%
22°C
$231 KL.
4%
23°C
$449 KL.
12%
24°C
$299 KL.
39%
25°C
$869 KL.
30%
26°C
$501 KL.
14%
27°C
$119 KL.
3%
28°C
$315 KL.
1%
29°C
$814 KL.
<1%
30°C or higher
$100 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on August 16 will likely peak near 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This positioning reflects a transitional air mass with modest warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, keeping daytime heating moderate rather than extreme for mid-August climatology. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because numerical guidance shows small spreads in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing, which directly control whether the daily high reaches or exceeds 25°C. Official observations from Moscow stations, verified against the resolution criteria, will capture the precise peak amid typical urban heat island effects of 1–2°C above rural surroundings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,812Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on August 16 will likely peak near 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This positioning reflects a transitional air mass with modest warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, keeping daytime heating moderate rather than extreme for mid-August climatology. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because numerical guidance shows small spreads in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing, which directly control whether the daily high reaches or exceeds 25°C. Official observations from Moscow stations, verified against the resolution criteria, will capture the precise peak amid typical urban heat island effects of 1–2°C above rural surroundings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,812Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on August 16 will likely peak near 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. This positioning reflects a transitional air mass with modest warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, keeping daytime heating moderate rather than extreme for mid-August climatology. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because numerical guidance shows small spreads in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing, which directly control whether the daily high reaches or exceeds 25°C. Official observations from Moscow stations, verified against the resolution criteria, will capture the precise peak amid typical urban heat island effects of 1–2°C above rural surroundings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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