Current forecast consensus from agencies and models points to a peak temperature near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16, 2026, driven by typical mid-August Mediterranean climatology featuring clear skies, high solar insolation, and average highs of 30–32°C. Light westerly winds may limit sea-breeze moderation while dry conditions and minimal cloud cover allow surface heating to reach or slightly exceed the seasonal norm. No anomalous heat wave or major synoptic shift appears in recent runs, keeping 32–33°C as the dominant range with only modest upside risk to 34°C. Traders assign high implied probability to 33°C because it aligns with both historical baselines and the latest short-range guidance, while lower or higher extremes remain unlikely absent unexpected model revisions before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 16?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 16?
33°C 71%
32°C 20%
34°C 11%
35°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
20%
33°C
71%
34°C
11%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 71%
32°C 20%
34°C 11%
35°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
$915 KL.
<1%
30°C
$919 KL.
<1%
31°C
$404 KL.
<1%
32°C
$1,204 KL.
20%
33°C
$1,819 KL.
71%
34°C
$882 KL.
11%
35°C
$459 KL.
1%
36°C
$498 KL.
<1%
37°C
$502 KL.
<1%
38°C
$456 KL.
<1%
39°C or higher
$441 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from agencies and models points to a peak temperature near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16, 2026, driven by typical mid-August Mediterranean climatology featuring clear skies, high solar insolation, and average highs of 30–32°C. Light westerly winds may limit sea-breeze moderation while dry conditions and minimal cloud cover allow surface heating to reach or slightly exceed the seasonal norm. No anomalous heat wave or major synoptic shift appears in recent runs, keeping 32–33°C as the dominant range with only modest upside risk to 34°C. Traders assign high implied probability to 33°C because it aligns with both historical baselines and the latest short-range guidance, while lower or higher extremes remain unlikely absent unexpected model revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,498Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from agencies and models points to a peak temperature near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16, 2026, driven by typical mid-August Mediterranean climatology featuring clear skies, high solar insolation, and average highs of 30–32°C. Light westerly winds may limit sea-breeze moderation while dry conditions and minimal cloud cover allow surface heating to reach or slightly exceed the seasonal norm. No anomalous heat wave or major synoptic shift appears in recent runs, keeping 32–33°C as the dominant range with only modest upside risk to 34°C. Traders assign high implied probability to 33°C because it aligns with both historical baselines and the latest short-range guidance, while lower or higher extremes remain unlikely absent unexpected model revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$8,498Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from agencies and models points to a peak temperature near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16, 2026, driven by typical mid-August Mediterranean climatology featuring clear skies, high solar insolation, and average highs of 30–32°C. Light westerly winds may limit sea-breeze moderation while dry conditions and minimal cloud cover allow surface heating to reach or slightly exceed the seasonal norm. No anomalous heat wave or major synoptic shift appears in recent runs, keeping 32–33°C as the dominant range with only modest upside risk to 34°C. Traders assign high implied probability to 33°C because it aligns with both historical baselines and the latest short-range guidance, while lower or higher extremes remain unlikely absent unexpected model revisions before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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