Recent Met Office forecasts for London point to a minimum of 17°C overnight into August 16 under continued high pressure, driving the near-even split between the 18°C (36%) and 17°C (35.5%) outcomes as traders weigh model consensus against local variability. Persistent summer warmth from elevated sea-surface temperatures has limited radiative cooling, while light winds and partial cloud cover introduce uncertainty in how far temperatures dip before dawn. Urban heat-island effects in central London further complicate precise readings, keeping 16°C a live possibility at 18.5% implied probability. Updated model runs and official observations through the night will determine final resolution, with historical August minima averaging near 14°C providing climatological context for the current mild pattern.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on August 16?
Lowest temperature in London on August 16?
18°C 36%
17°C 36%
16°C 18%
19°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
18%
17°C
36%
18°C
36%
19°C
8%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 36%
17°C 36%
16°C 18%
19°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
14°C or below
$83 KL.
<1%
15°C
$368 KL.
2%
16°C
$1,608 KL.
18%
17°C
$2,304 KL.
36%
18°C
$1,728 KL.
36%
19°C
$692 KL.
8%
20°C
$145 KL.
1%
21°C
$586 KL.
1%
22°C
$131 KL.
<1%
23°C
$141 KL.
<1%
24°C or higher
$151 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London point to a minimum of 17°C overnight into August 16 under continued high pressure, driving the near-even split between the 18°C (36%) and 17°C (35.5%) outcomes as traders weigh model consensus against local variability. Persistent summer warmth from elevated sea-surface temperatures has limited radiative cooling, while light winds and partial cloud cover introduce uncertainty in how far temperatures dip before dawn. Urban heat-island effects in central London further complicate precise readings, keeping 16°C a live possibility at 18.5% implied probability. Updated model runs and official observations through the night will determine final resolution, with historical August minima averaging near 14°C providing climatological context for the current mild pattern.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,936Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London point to a minimum of 17°C overnight into August 16 under continued high pressure, driving the near-even split between the 18°C (36%) and 17°C (35.5%) outcomes as traders weigh model consensus against local variability. Persistent summer warmth from elevated sea-surface temperatures has limited radiative cooling, while light winds and partial cloud cover introduce uncertainty in how far temperatures dip before dawn. Urban heat-island effects in central London further complicate precise readings, keeping 16°C a live possibility at 18.5% implied probability. Updated model runs and official observations through the night will determine final resolution, with historical August minima averaging near 14°C providing climatological context for the current mild pattern.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$7,936Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts for London point to a minimum of 17°C overnight into August 16 under continued high pressure, driving the near-even split between the 18°C (36%) and 17°C (35.5%) outcomes as traders weigh model consensus against local variability. Persistent summer warmth from elevated sea-surface temperatures has limited radiative cooling, while light winds and partial cloud cover introduce uncertainty in how far temperatures dip before dawn. Urban heat-island effects in central London further complicate precise readings, keeping 16°C a live possibility at 18.5% implied probability. Updated model runs and official observations through the night will determine final resolution, with historical August minima averaging near 14°C providing climatological context for the current mild pattern.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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