Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate London will see a minimum temperature near 20°C on August 15, driven by mild overnight conditions under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where average lows hover around 14–16°C but can remain elevated during settled high-pressure patterns with daytime maxima reaching 27–28°C. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the 20°C outcome reflects real-time aggregation of model outputs emphasizing stable boundary-layer temperatures and minimal advection of cooler air masses. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include unexpected cloud clearance accelerating cooling or a late frontal passage, though current observational data and short-range model agreement make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on August 15?
Lowest temperature in London on August 15?
20°C 93%
19°C 6%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$16,587 KL.
$16,587 KL.
Aug 15, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
93%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 93%
19°C 6%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$16,587 KL.
$16,587 KL.
Aug 15, 2026
14°C or below
$1,032 KL.
<1%
15°C
$572 KL.
<1%
16°C
$464 KL.
<1%
17°C
$831 KL.
1%
18°C
$1,592 KL.
1%
19°C
$3,014 KL.
6%
20°C
$5,109 KL.
93%
21°C
$2,463 KL.
<1%
22°C
$910 KL.
<1%
23°C
$335 KL.
<1%
24°C or higher
$265 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate London will see a minimum temperature near 20°C on August 15, driven by mild overnight conditions under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where average lows hover around 14–16°C but can remain elevated during settled high-pressure patterns with daytime maxima reaching 27–28°C. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the 20°C outcome reflects real-time aggregation of model outputs emphasizing stable boundary-layer temperatures and minimal advection of cooler air masses. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include unexpected cloud clearance accelerating cooling or a late frontal passage, though current observational data and short-range model agreement make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$16,587Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate London will see a minimum temperature near 20°C on August 15, driven by mild overnight conditions under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where average lows hover around 14–16°C but can remain elevated during settled high-pressure patterns with daytime maxima reaching 27–28°C. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the 20°C outcome reflects real-time aggregation of model outputs emphasizing stable boundary-layer temperatures and minimal advection of cooler air masses. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include unexpected cloud clearance accelerating cooling or a late frontal passage, though current observational data and short-range model agreement make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$16,587Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate London will see a minimum temperature near 20°C on August 15, driven by mild overnight conditions under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where average lows hover around 14–16°C but can remain elevated during settled high-pressure patterns with daytime maxima reaching 27–28°C. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the 20°C outcome reflects real-time aggregation of model outputs emphasizing stable boundary-layer temperatures and minimal advection of cooler air masses. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include unexpected cloud clearance accelerating cooling or a late frontal passage, though current observational data and short-range model agreement make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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