The southwest monsoon (habagat) continues to dominate Metro Manila through August 16, driving persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. PAGASA forecasts a maximum of 29–30°C under these conditions, consistent with typical wet-season norms where rainfall and reduced insolation keep peaks below the drier-season average of 31–32°C. Model consensus from extended outlooks shows limited diurnal warming potential, with only isolated breaks in cloudiness expected to briefly allow temperatures near 31°C. Trader positioning around 29–31°C reflects this established pattern of monsoon suppression, with slim odds for outliers above 32°C or below 28°C given the narrow forecast envelope and historical August variability of just a few degrees.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on August 16?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 16?
30°C 44%
31°C 25%
29°C 20%
28°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
20%
30°C
44%
31°C
25%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 44%
31°C 25%
29°C 20%
28°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
24°C or below
$300 KL.
<1%
25°C
$322 KL.
<1%
26°C
$230 KL.
1%
27°C
$233 KL.
1%
28°C
$569 KL.
9%
29°C
$1,222 KL.
20%
30°C
$1,615 KL.
44%
31°C
$709 KL.
25%
32°C
$411 KL.
6%
33°C
$265 KL.
1%
34°C or higher
$203 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon (habagat) continues to dominate Metro Manila through August 16, driving persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. PAGASA forecasts a maximum of 29–30°C under these conditions, consistent with typical wet-season norms where rainfall and reduced insolation keep peaks below the drier-season average of 31–32°C. Model consensus from extended outlooks shows limited diurnal warming potential, with only isolated breaks in cloudiness expected to briefly allow temperatures near 31°C. Trader positioning around 29–31°C reflects this established pattern of monsoon suppression, with slim odds for outliers above 32°C or below 28°C given the narrow forecast envelope and historical August variability of just a few degrees.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$6,079Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon (habagat) continues to dominate Metro Manila through August 16, driving persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. PAGASA forecasts a maximum of 29–30°C under these conditions, consistent with typical wet-season norms where rainfall and reduced insolation keep peaks below the drier-season average of 31–32°C. Model consensus from extended outlooks shows limited diurnal warming potential, with only isolated breaks in cloudiness expected to briefly allow temperatures near 31°C. Trader positioning around 29–31°C reflects this established pattern of monsoon suppression, with slim odds for outliers above 32°C or below 28°C given the narrow forecast envelope and historical August variability of just a few degrees.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$6,079Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The southwest monsoon (habagat) continues to dominate Metro Manila through August 16, driving persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. PAGASA forecasts a maximum of 29–30°C under these conditions, consistent with typical wet-season norms where rainfall and reduced insolation keep peaks below the drier-season average of 31–32°C. Model consensus from extended outlooks shows limited diurnal warming potential, with only isolated breaks in cloudiness expected to briefly allow temperatures near 31°C. Trader positioning around 29–31°C reflects this established pattern of monsoon suppression, with slim odds for outliers above 32°C or below 28°C given the narrow forecast envelope and historical August variability of just a few degrees.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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