**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s August 14 peak temperature centers on 31–32 °C outcomes, reflecting a tightening balance between lingering summer heat and incoming moisture.** A persistent heatwave, linked to Tropical Storm Dolphin and very-hot-weather warnings, has driven recent daily maxima near or above 34 °C, yet official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble models point to increasing thundery showers by mid-week that should cap afternoon temperatures. Subtropical monsoon flow, high boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island effects typically add 1–2 °C to coastal readings, while cloud cover and rainfall reduce solar heating and limit convective intensification. Historical August climatology shows a 32 °C mean maximum, but the current pattern’s steering flow and timing of shower onset introduce enough forecast spread to keep 30 °C and 33 °C probabilities live. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing on shower coverage will be the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
31°C 38%
32°C 28%
30°C 16%
33°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
16%
31°C
38%
32°C
28%
33°C
8%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
32°C 28%
30°C 16%
33°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
$300 KL.
<1%
27°C
$254 KL.
<1%
28°C
$367 KL.
1%
29°C
$694 KL.
7%
30°C
$723 KL.
16%
31°C
$838 KL.
38%
32°C
$1,491 KL.
28%
33°C
$195 KL.
8%
34°C
$244 KL.
4%
35°C
$202 KL.
1%
36°C or higher
$261 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s August 14 peak temperature centers on 31–32 °C outcomes, reflecting a tightening balance between lingering summer heat and incoming moisture.** A persistent heatwave, linked to Tropical Storm Dolphin and very-hot-weather warnings, has driven recent daily maxima near or above 34 °C, yet official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble models point to increasing thundery showers by mid-week that should cap afternoon temperatures. Subtropical monsoon flow, high boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island effects typically add 1–2 °C to coastal readings, while cloud cover and rainfall reduce solar heating and limit convective intensification. Historical August climatology shows a 32 °C mean maximum, but the current pattern’s steering flow and timing of shower onset introduce enough forecast spread to keep 30 °C and 33 °C probabilities live. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing on shower coverage will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,570Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s August 14 peak temperature centers on 31–32 °C outcomes, reflecting a tightening balance between lingering summer heat and incoming moisture.** A persistent heatwave, linked to Tropical Storm Dolphin and very-hot-weather warnings, has driven recent daily maxima near or above 34 °C, yet official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble models point to increasing thundery showers by mid-week that should cap afternoon temperatures. Subtropical monsoon flow, high boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island effects typically add 1–2 °C to coastal readings, while cloud cover and rainfall reduce solar heating and limit convective intensification. Historical August climatology shows a 32 °C mean maximum, but the current pattern’s steering flow and timing of shower onset introduce enough forecast spread to keep 30 °C and 33 °C probabilities live. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing on shower coverage will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$5,570Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s August 14 peak temperature centers on 31–32 °C outcomes, reflecting a tightening balance between lingering summer heat and incoming moisture.** A persistent heatwave, linked to Tropical Storm Dolphin and very-hot-weather warnings, has driven recent daily maxima near or above 34 °C, yet official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble models point to increasing thundery showers by mid-week that should cap afternoon temperatures. Subtropical monsoon flow, high boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island effects typically add 1–2 °C to coastal readings, while cloud cover and rainfall reduce solar heating and limit convective intensification. Historical August climatology shows a 32 °C mean maximum, but the current pattern’s steering flow and timing of shower onset introduce enough forecast spread to keep 30 °C and 33 °C probabilities live. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing on shower coverage will be the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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