Trader consensus clusters around 29–30°C for Shanghai’s August 12 high because recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs show the city under a weak subtropical ridge with modest southwesterly flow, limiting afternoon convection while allowing surface heating to peak near these values. The tight spread between 28°C and 30°C outcomes stems from small differences in modeled cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island amplification on the day, with limited model agreement on exact timing of any sea-breeze or thunderstorm cooling. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and station observations through August 10 continue to support this narrow range, though the next 48-hour model cycles and 12 August morning soundings could still shift the most likely maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 12?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 12?
29°C 41%
30°C 33%
28°C 22%
31°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
22%
29°C
41%
30°C
33%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 41%
30°C 33%
28°C 22%
31°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
$506 KL.
<1%
25°C
$528 KL.
<1%
26°C
$182 KL.
<1%
27°C
$260 KL.
4%
28°C
$749 KL.
22%
29°C
$595 KL.
41%
30°C
$508 KL.
33%
31°C
$512 KL.
6%
32°C
$143 KL.
2%
33°C
$375 KL.
<1%
34°C or higher
$177 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 29–30°C for Shanghai’s August 12 high because recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs show the city under a weak subtropical ridge with modest southwesterly flow, limiting afternoon convection while allowing surface heating to peak near these values. The tight spread between 28°C and 30°C outcomes stems from small differences in modeled cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island amplification on the day, with limited model agreement on exact timing of any sea-breeze or thunderstorm cooling. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and station observations through August 10 continue to support this narrow range, though the next 48-hour model cycles and 12 August morning soundings could still shift the most likely maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,534Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 29–30°C for Shanghai’s August 12 high because recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs show the city under a weak subtropical ridge with modest southwesterly flow, limiting afternoon convection while allowing surface heating to peak near these values. The tight spread between 28°C and 30°C outcomes stems from small differences in modeled cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island amplification on the day, with limited model agreement on exact timing of any sea-breeze or thunderstorm cooling. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and station observations through August 10 continue to support this narrow range, though the next 48-hour model cycles and 12 August morning soundings could still shift the most likely maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,534Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 29–30°C for Shanghai’s August 12 high because recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs show the city under a weak subtropical ridge with modest southwesterly flow, limiting afternoon convection while allowing surface heating to peak near these values. The tight spread between 28°C and 30°C outcomes stems from small differences in modeled cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island amplification on the day, with limited model agreement on exact timing of any sea-breeze or thunderstorm cooling. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and station observations through August 10 continue to support this narrow range, though the next 48-hour model cycles and 12 August morning soundings could still shift the most likely maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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