Recent KNMI guidance for August 12 highlights sunny conditions with easterly winds supporting maximum temperatures of 28–32 °C across the Netherlands, placing Amsterdam’s daily high near the upper end of long-term August averages. Ensemble model spreads and local urban heat-island effects create the tight clustering around 26–29 °C in trader pricing, as slight differences in boundary-layer mixing or cloud timing could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. With minimal precipitation risk and strong insolation expected, resolution hinges on the official KNMI station reading at the end of the day; updated model runs and any late adjustments to the 850 hPa temperature field remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 12?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 12?
27°C 31%
28°C 28%
26°C 21%
29°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
21%
27°C
31%
28°C
28%
29°C
14%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 31%
28°C 28%
26°C 21%
29°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
23°C or below
$445 KL.
<1%
24°C
$427 KL.
1%
25°C
$318 KL.
4%
26°C
$1,234 KL.
21%
27°C
$185 KL.
31%
28°C
$3,608 KL.
28%
29°C
$1,170 KL.
14%
30°C
$79 KL.
4%
31°C
$32 KL.
1%
32°C
$35 KL.
<1%
33°C or higher
$38 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KNMI guidance for August 12 highlights sunny conditions with easterly winds supporting maximum temperatures of 28–32 °C across the Netherlands, placing Amsterdam’s daily high near the upper end of long-term August averages. Ensemble model spreads and local urban heat-island effects create the tight clustering around 26–29 °C in trader pricing, as slight differences in boundary-layer mixing or cloud timing could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. With minimal precipitation risk and strong insolation expected, resolution hinges on the official KNMI station reading at the end of the day; updated model runs and any late adjustments to the 850 hPa temperature field remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,572Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KNMI guidance for August 12 highlights sunny conditions with easterly winds supporting maximum temperatures of 28–32 °C across the Netherlands, placing Amsterdam’s daily high near the upper end of long-term August averages. Ensemble model spreads and local urban heat-island effects create the tight clustering around 26–29 °C in trader pricing, as slight differences in boundary-layer mixing or cloud timing could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. With minimal precipitation risk and strong insolation expected, resolution hinges on the official KNMI station reading at the end of the day; updated model runs and any late adjustments to the 850 hPa temperature field remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$7,572Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KNMI guidance for August 12 highlights sunny conditions with easterly winds supporting maximum temperatures of 28–32 °C across the Netherlands, placing Amsterdam’s daily high near the upper end of long-term August averages. Ensemble model spreads and local urban heat-island effects create the tight clustering around 26–29 °C in trader pricing, as slight differences in boundary-layer mixing or cloud timing could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. With minimal precipitation risk and strong insolation expected, resolution hinges on the official KNMI station reading at the end of the day; updated model runs and any late adjustments to the 850 hPa temperature field remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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