Active southwest monsoon (habagat) patterns, reinforced by recent heavy rainfall warnings across Luzon, form the main driver positioning 30°C as the leading market outcome for Manila's August 12 maximum temperature. Official PAGASA outlooks indicate daytime highs near 30–33°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and 30–90% rain probabilities, which limit solar heating and keep readings close to the long-term August average of about 31°C. Model consensus and historical monsoon analogs support trader emphasis on 30–31°C brackets over higher extremes, with resolution hinging on verified station observations amid ongoing wet conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on August 12?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 12?
30°C 46%
31°C 26%
29°C 17%
32°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
17%
30°C
46%
31°C
26%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 46%
31°C 26%
29°C 17%
32°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
$396 KL.
<1%
25°C
$432 KL.
<1%
26°C
$131 KL.
<1%
27°C
$64 KL.
2%
28°C
$385 KL.
3%
29°C
$563 KL.
17%
30°C
$337 KL.
46%
31°C
$151 KL.
26%
32°C
$754 KL.
5%
33°C
$851 KL.
2%
34°C or higher
$155 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon (habagat) patterns, reinforced by recent heavy rainfall warnings across Luzon, form the main driver positioning 30°C as the leading market outcome for Manila's August 12 maximum temperature. Official PAGASA outlooks indicate daytime highs near 30–33°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and 30–90% rain probabilities, which limit solar heating and keep readings close to the long-term August average of about 31°C. Model consensus and historical monsoon analogs support trader emphasis on 30–31°C brackets over higher extremes, with resolution hinging on verified station observations amid ongoing wet conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,219Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon (habagat) patterns, reinforced by recent heavy rainfall warnings across Luzon, form the main driver positioning 30°C as the leading market outcome for Manila's August 12 maximum temperature. Official PAGASA outlooks indicate daytime highs near 30–33°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and 30–90% rain probabilities, which limit solar heating and keep readings close to the long-term August average of about 31°C. Model consensus and historical monsoon analogs support trader emphasis on 30–31°C brackets over higher extremes, with resolution hinging on verified station observations amid ongoing wet conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,219Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active southwest monsoon (habagat) patterns, reinforced by recent heavy rainfall warnings across Luzon, form the main driver positioning 30°C as the leading market outcome for Manila's August 12 maximum temperature. Official PAGASA outlooks indicate daytime highs near 30–33°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and 30–90% rain probabilities, which limit solar heating and keep readings close to the long-term August average of about 31°C. Model consensus and historical monsoon analogs support trader emphasis on 30–31°C brackets over higher extremes, with resolution hinging on verified station observations amid ongoing wet conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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