Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 12 point to a nighttime minimum near 18°C after a hot daytime peak of 32–33°C under mostly clear skies. This outcome reflects limited radiative cooling in a warm air mass, with urban heat island effects and light winds preventing deeper drops typical of rural areas. Ensemble model spreads introduce modest uncertainty between 17°C and 18°C, as slight variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact low by 1°C. Historical August averages near 13–14°C underscore how this warm spell elevates minima, aligning trader sentiment tightly around these two values while assigning negligible probability to cooler thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on August 12?
Lowest temperature in London on August 12?
18°C 60%
17°C 39%
16°C <1%
12°C or below <1%
$11,510 KL.
$11,510 KL.
Aug 12, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
39%
18°C
60%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 60%
17°C 39%
16°C <1%
12°C or below <1%
$11,510 KL.
$11,510 KL.
Aug 12, 2026
12°C or below
$279 KL.
<1%
13°C
$174 KL.
<1%
14°C
$688 KL.
<1%
15°C
$924 KL.
<1%
16°C
$1,027 KL.
1%
17°C
$3,667 KL.
39%
18°C
$1,480 KL.
60%
19°C
$2,095 KL.
<1%
20°C
$591 KL.
<1%
21°C
$295 KL.
<1%
22°C or higher
$289 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 12 point to a nighttime minimum near 18°C after a hot daytime peak of 32–33°C under mostly clear skies. This outcome reflects limited radiative cooling in a warm air mass, with urban heat island effects and light winds preventing deeper drops typical of rural areas. Ensemble model spreads introduce modest uncertainty between 17°C and 18°C, as slight variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact low by 1°C. Historical August averages near 13–14°C underscore how this warm spell elevates minima, aligning trader sentiment tightly around these two values while assigning negligible probability to cooler thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,510Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 12 point to a nighttime minimum near 18°C after a hot daytime peak of 32–33°C under mostly clear skies. This outcome reflects limited radiative cooling in a warm air mass, with urban heat island effects and light winds preventing deeper drops typical of rural areas. Ensemble model spreads introduce modest uncertainty between 17°C and 18°C, as slight variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact low by 1°C. Historical August averages near 13–14°C underscore how this warm spell elevates minima, aligning trader sentiment tightly around these two values while assigning negligible probability to cooler thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$11,510Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 12 point to a nighttime minimum near 18°C after a hot daytime peak of 32–33°C under mostly clear skies. This outcome reflects limited radiative cooling in a warm air mass, with urban heat island effects and light winds preventing deeper drops typical of rural areas. Ensemble model spreads introduce modest uncertainty between 17°C and 18°C, as slight variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact low by 1°C. Historical August averages near 13–14°C underscore how this warm spell elevates minima, aligning trader sentiment tightly around these two values while assigning negligible probability to cooler thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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