Official health agencies including the WHO and CDC continue to assess global risk from the May 2026 Andes hantavirus cluster on a cruise ship as low, with only about 10–11 confirmed or suspected cases and three deaths reported before rapid containment. Andes virus remains the sole hantavirus capable of limited person-to-person spread, yet transmission requires prolonged close contact rather than efficient respiratory or casual community routes typical of pandemic pathogens. No sustained chains of infection or widespread cases have emerged in the subsequent months, aligning with historical U.S. surveillance showing fewer than 900 total hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases since 1993. Trader consensus on “No” at 96% reflects this epidemiological pattern and monitoring data. A realistic shift could occur only if the virus mutated for markedly higher transmissibility before symptoms appear, a scenario not supported by current genomic findings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
4% khả năng
$17,792,548 KL.
$17,792,548 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
4% khả năng
$17,792,548 KL.
$17,792,548 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Official health agencies including the WHO and CDC continue to assess global risk from the May 2026 Andes hantavirus cluster on a cruise ship as low, with only about 10–11 confirmed or suspected cases and three deaths reported before rapid containment. Andes virus remains the sole hantavirus capable of limited person-to-person spread, yet transmission requires prolonged close contact rather than efficient respiratory or casual community routes typical of pandemic pathogens. No sustained chains of infection or widespread cases have emerged in the subsequent months, aligning with historical U.S. surveillance showing fewer than 900 total hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases since 1993. Trader consensus on “No” at 96% reflects this epidemiological pattern and monitoring data. A realistic shift could occur only if the virus mutated for markedly higher transmissibility before symptoms appear, a scenario not supported by current genomic findings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
Khối lượng
$17,792,548Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Official health agencies including the WHO and CDC continue to assess global risk from the May 2026 Andes hantavirus cluster on a cruise ship as low, with only about 10–11 confirmed or suspected cases and three deaths reported before rapid containment. Andes virus remains the sole hantavirus capable of limited person-to-person spread, yet transmission requires prolonged close contact rather than efficient respiratory or casual community routes typical of pandemic pathogens. No sustained chains of infection or widespread cases have emerged in the subsequent months, aligning with historical U.S. surveillance showing fewer than 900 total hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases since 1993. Trader consensus on “No” at 96% reflects this epidemiological pattern and monitoring data. A realistic shift could occur only if the virus mutated for markedly higher transmissibility before symptoms appear, a scenario not supported by current genomic findings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$17,792,548Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Official health agencies including the WHO and CDC continue to assess global risk from the May 2026 Andes hantavirus cluster on a cruise ship as low, with only about 10–11 confirmed or suspected cases and three deaths reported before rapid containment. Andes virus remains the sole hantavirus capable of limited person-to-person spread, yet transmission requires prolonged close contact rather than efficient respiratory or casual community routes typical of pandemic pathogens. No sustained chains of infection or widespread cases have emerged in the subsequent months, aligning with historical U.S. surveillance showing fewer than 900 total hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases since 1993. Trader consensus on “No” at 96% reflects this epidemiological pattern and monitoring data. A realistic shift could occur only if the virus mutated for markedly higher transmissibility before symptoms appear, a scenario not supported by current genomic findings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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