Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models show persistent cloud cover and light rain over Jinan on August 12, 2026, limiting solar heating and holding the daily maximum near 26–27 °C despite typical August climatology of 30–33 °C under clearer skies. This pattern explains the market’s 90.5% implied probability for 26 °C or higher, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of official guidance and suppressed insolation. A rapid clearing of clouds or delayed precipitation could allow greater surface warming and push readings higher, though current model consensus indicates low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jinan on August 12?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 12?
26°C or higher 91%
25°C 10%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
10%
26°C or higher
91%
26°C or higher 91%
25°C 10%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
16°C or below
$459 KL.
<1%
17°C
$460 KL.
<1%
18°C
$604 KL.
<1%
19°C
$273 KL.
1%
20°C
$79 KL.
1%
21°C
$72 KL.
1%
22°C
$71 KL.
1%
23°C
$115 KL.
1%
24°C
$85 KL.
1%
25°C
$66 KL.
10%
26°C or higher
$363 KL.
91%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models show persistent cloud cover and light rain over Jinan on August 12, 2026, limiting solar heating and holding the daily maximum near 26–27 °C despite typical August climatology of 30–33 °C under clearer skies. This pattern explains the market’s 90.5% implied probability for 26 °C or higher, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of official guidance and suppressed insolation. A rapid clearing of clouds or delayed precipitation could allow greater surface warming and push readings higher, though current model consensus indicates low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,646Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models show persistent cloud cover and light rain over Jinan on August 12, 2026, limiting solar heating and holding the daily maximum near 26–27 °C despite typical August climatology of 30–33 °C under clearer skies. This pattern explains the market’s 90.5% implied probability for 26 °C or higher, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of official guidance and suppressed insolation. A rapid clearing of clouds or delayed precipitation could allow greater surface warming and push readings higher, though current model consensus indicates low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,646Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models show persistent cloud cover and light rain over Jinan on August 12, 2026, limiting solar heating and holding the daily maximum near 26–27 °C despite typical August climatology of 30–33 °C under clearer skies. This pattern explains the market’s 90.5% implied probability for 26 °C or higher, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of official guidance and suppressed insolation. A rapid clearing of clouds or delayed precipitation could allow greater surface warming and push readings higher, though current model consensus indicates low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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