Current ensemble forecasts from European models, including KNMI and ECMWF guidance, cluster maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 11 around 21–23°C under mostly sunny skies with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover, directly supporting the market's leading 22°C (41%) and 23°C (35%) outcomes. Recent cooling after early August heat peaks above 30°C has moderated the pattern, aligning with mid-month climatological averages near 21–22°C. Key differentiating factors include minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, diurnal heating rates, and any subtle shifts in high pressure, which could push readings 1°C higher or lower. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 11?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 11?
22°C 42%
23°C 35%
21°C 17%
24°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 11, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
17%
22°C
42%
23°C
35%
24°C
9%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 42%
23°C 35%
21°C 17%
24°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 11, 2026
18°C or below
$23 KL.
1%
19°C
$16 KL.
1%
20°C
$48 KL.
3%
21°C
$360 KL.
17%
22°C
$146 KL.
42%
23°C
$16 KL.
35%
24°C
$52 KL.
9%
25°C
$16 KL.
4%
26°C
$39 KL.
2%
27°C
$33 KL.
1%
28°C or higher
$277 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European models, including KNMI and ECMWF guidance, cluster maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 11 around 21–23°C under mostly sunny skies with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover, directly supporting the market's leading 22°C (41%) and 23°C (35%) outcomes. Recent cooling after early August heat peaks above 30°C has moderated the pattern, aligning with mid-month climatological averages near 21–22°C. Key differentiating factors include minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, diurnal heating rates, and any subtle shifts in high pressure, which could push readings 1°C higher or lower. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,027Ngày kết thúc
Aug 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European models, including KNMI and ECMWF guidance, cluster maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 11 around 21–23°C under mostly sunny skies with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover, directly supporting the market's leading 22°C (41%) and 23°C (35%) outcomes. Recent cooling after early August heat peaks above 30°C has moderated the pattern, aligning with mid-month climatological averages near 21–22°C. Key differentiating factors include minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, diurnal heating rates, and any subtle shifts in high pressure, which could push readings 1°C higher or lower. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,027Ngày kết thúc
Aug 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from European models, including KNMI and ECMWF guidance, cluster maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 11 around 21–23°C under mostly sunny skies with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover, directly supporting the market's leading 22°C (41%) and 23°C (35%) outcomes. Recent cooling after early August heat peaks above 30°C has moderated the pattern, aligning with mid-month climatological averages near 21–22°C. Key differentiating factors include minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, diurnal heating rates, and any subtle shifts in high pressure, which could push readings 1°C higher or lower. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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