Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 8 point to mainly fine and very hot conditions under weak steering winds, with a daily maximum near 33–34°C driven by strong daytime insolation, high humidity, and urban heat island effects in the densely built environment. This underpins trader consensus favoring 34°C or 35°C, as model runs show modest spread from isolated morning or evening convection that could either suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C depending on timing and cloud cover. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures add context for potential exceedance of the 34°C threshold, while official verification at the Hong Kong Observatory station will resolve the market based on the precise recorded high.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
34°C 40%
35°C 34%
36°C 16%
33°C 9%
$33,516 KL.
$33,516 KL.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
9%
34°C
40%
35°C
34%
36°C
16%
37°C
5%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 40%
35°C 34%
36°C 16%
33°C 9%
$33,516 KL.
$33,516 KL.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
9%
34°C
40%
35°C
34%
36°C
16%
37°C
5%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 8 point to mainly fine and very hot conditions under weak steering winds, with a daily maximum near 33–34°C driven by strong daytime insolation, high humidity, and urban heat island effects in the densely built environment. This underpins trader consensus favoring 34°C or 35°C, as model runs show modest spread from isolated morning or evening convection that could either suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C depending on timing and cloud cover. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures add context for potential exceedance of the 34°C threshold, while official verification at the Hong Kong Observatory station will resolve the market based on the precise recorded high.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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