Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for August 8, 2026, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward those outcomes amid typical early-August subtropical conditions of high humidity and light winds. Seasonal guidance indicates normal to above-normal temperatures overall, with limited cooling influence from any approaching weather systems and model consensus favoring overnight lows near the long-term climatological baseline of 26–28°C. Recent updates show stable atmospheric patterns with mainly fine skies and isolated showers unlikely to suppress minima significantly, though small forecast revisions in the final model runs could still shift probabilities between the two leading bins before resolution. Traders appear to be pricing in this narrow scientific range based on verified agency data rather than broader seasonal trends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
28°C 68%
27°C 23%
29°C 7%
26°C 3%
MỚI
$31,801 KL.
MỚI
$31,801 KL.
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
23%
28°C
68%
29°C
7%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 68%
27°C 23%
29°C 7%
26°C 3%
MỚI
$31,801 KL.
MỚI
$31,801 KL.
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
$598 KL.
<1%
23°C
$613 KL.
<1%
24°C
$683 KL.
<1%
25°C
$1,943 KL.
2%
26°C
$1,378 KL.
3%
27°C
$4,674 KL.
23%
28°C
$10,628 KL.
68%
29°C
$6,629 KL.
7%
30°C
$3,077 KL.
<1%
31°C
$938 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$641 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for August 8, 2026, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward those outcomes amid typical early-August subtropical conditions of high humidity and light winds. Seasonal guidance indicates normal to above-normal temperatures overall, with limited cooling influence from any approaching weather systems and model consensus favoring overnight lows near the long-term climatological baseline of 26–28°C. Recent updates show stable atmospheric patterns with mainly fine skies and isolated showers unlikely to suppress minima significantly, though small forecast revisions in the final model runs could still shift probabilities between the two leading bins before resolution. Traders appear to be pricing in this narrow scientific range based on verified agency data rather than broader seasonal trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$31,801Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for August 8, 2026, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward those outcomes amid typical early-August subtropical conditions of high humidity and light winds. Seasonal guidance indicates normal to above-normal temperatures overall, with limited cooling influence from any approaching weather systems and model consensus favoring overnight lows near the long-term climatological baseline of 26–28°C. Recent updates show stable atmospheric patterns with mainly fine skies and isolated showers unlikely to suppress minima significantly, though small forecast revisions in the final model runs could still shift probabilities between the two leading bins before resolution. Traders appear to be pricing in this narrow scientific range based on verified agency data rather than broader seasonal trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$31,801Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for August 8, 2026, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward those outcomes amid typical early-August subtropical conditions of high humidity and light winds. Seasonal guidance indicates normal to above-normal temperatures overall, with limited cooling influence from any approaching weather systems and model consensus favoring overnight lows near the long-term climatological baseline of 26–28°C. Recent updates show stable atmospheric patterns with mainly fine skies and isolated showers unlikely to suppress minima significantly, though small forecast revisions in the final model runs could still shift probabilities between the two leading bins before resolution. Traders appear to be pricing in this narrow scientific range based on verified agency data rather than broader seasonal trends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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