Recent forecasts for Taipei indicate typical early-August subtropical conditions, with Central Weather Administration guidance and extended models pointing to highs near or above 32°C amid high humidity and urban heat effects, supporting the market's 51% implied probability for that threshold. Variability arises from potential afternoon showers or cloud cover on August 8 that could cap temperatures around 29–31°C, aligning with secondary odds and historical patterns where precipitation occasionally suppresses peaks below seasonal averages of 32–34°C. Short-range model runs show limited typhoon influence but emphasize steering patterns and moisture as key variables ahead of official updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Taipei on August 8?
32°C or higher 51%
31°C 24%
30°C 16%
29°C 10%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
16%
31°C
24%
32°C or higher
51%
32°C or higher 51%
31°C 24%
30°C 16%
29°C 10%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
16%
31°C
24%
32°C or higher
51%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Taipei indicate typical early-August subtropical conditions, with Central Weather Administration guidance and extended models pointing to highs near or above 32°C amid high humidity and urban heat effects, supporting the market's 51% implied probability for that threshold. Variability arises from potential afternoon showers or cloud cover on August 8 that could cap temperatures around 29–31°C, aligning with secondary odds and historical patterns where precipitation occasionally suppresses peaks below seasonal averages of 32–34°C. Short-range model runs show limited typhoon influence but emphasize steering patterns and moisture as key variables ahead of official updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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