Recent National Weather Service guidance places Denver's high near 88°F under sunny skies following a multi-day heat wave that produced 100–102°F readings earlier in the week. Model consensus and observed cooling from shifting winds and lingering wildfire smoke support the market's concentration on 86–87°F (43%) and 84–85°F (28%) bins, with 88–89°F at 14.5%. Historical August averages near 90°F and the current forecast's narrow range explain why outcomes above 90°F or below 84°F carry minimal implied probability ahead of final observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Denver on August 5?
86-87°F 43%
84-85°F 29%
88-89°F 15%
82-83°F 6.0%
$30,437 KL.
$30,437 KL.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
43%
88-89°F
15%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 43%
84-85°F 29%
88-89°F 15%
82-83°F 6.0%
$30,437 KL.
$30,437 KL.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
43%
88-89°F
15%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance places Denver's high near 88°F under sunny skies following a multi-day heat wave that produced 100–102°F readings earlier in the week. Model consensus and observed cooling from shifting winds and lingering wildfire smoke support the market's concentration on 86–87°F (43%) and 84–85°F (28%) bins, with 88–89°F at 14.5%. Historical August averages near 90°F and the current forecast's narrow range explain why outcomes above 90°F or below 84°F carry minimal implied probability ahead of final observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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