The Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast for August 5 calls for sunny periods, very hot conditions, and a maximum near 33°C under subtropical high pressure, light winds, and strong solar heating. This aligns with morning observations already reaching 29°C by 10 a.m., typical late-summer climatology slightly elevated by long-term warming trends, and regional model consensus projecting urban maxima in the 31–33°C range. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for 33°C reflects high confidence in these verified guidance elements and urban heat-island effects. Persistent cloud cover, late-day convection, or stronger steering winds could realistically cap readings at 32°C or below before the Observatory records the official daily peak.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 5?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 5?
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$252,963 KL.
$252,963 KL.
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$252,963 KL.
$252,963 KL.
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
$7,318 KL.
<1%
28°C
$5,733 KL.
<1%
29°C
$15,184 KL.
<1%
30°C
$49,287 KL.
<1%
31°C
$30,067 KL.
<1%
32°C
$38,864 KL.
<1%
33°C
$34,353 KL.
100%
34°C
$35,084 KL.
<1%
35°C
$20,066 KL.
<1%
36°C
$9,638 KL.
<1%
37°C or higher
$7,368 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast for August 5 calls for sunny periods, very hot conditions, and a maximum near 33°C under subtropical high pressure, light winds, and strong solar heating. This aligns with morning observations already reaching 29°C by 10 a.m., typical late-summer climatology slightly elevated by long-term warming trends, and regional model consensus projecting urban maxima in the 31–33°C range. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for 33°C reflects high confidence in these verified guidance elements and urban heat-island effects. Persistent cloud cover, late-day convection, or stronger steering winds could realistically cap readings at 32°C or below before the Observatory records the official daily peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$252,963Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast for August 5 calls for sunny periods, very hot conditions, and a maximum near 33°C under subtropical high pressure, light winds, and strong solar heating. This aligns with morning observations already reaching 29°C by 10 a.m., typical late-summer climatology slightly elevated by long-term warming trends, and regional model consensus projecting urban maxima in the 31–33°C range. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for 33°C reflects high confidence in these verified guidance elements and urban heat-island effects. Persistent cloud cover, late-day convection, or stronger steering winds could realistically cap readings at 32°C or below before the Observatory records the official daily peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$252,963Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast for August 5 calls for sunny periods, very hot conditions, and a maximum near 33°C under subtropical high pressure, light winds, and strong solar heating. This aligns with morning observations already reaching 29°C by 10 a.m., typical late-summer climatology slightly elevated by long-term warming trends, and regional model consensus projecting urban maxima in the 31–33°C range. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for 33°C reflects high confidence in these verified guidance elements and urban heat-island effects. Persistent cloud cover, late-day convection, or stronger steering winds could realistically cap readings at 32°C or below before the Observatory records the official daily peak.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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