Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate minimum temperatures near 27°C for August 5 amid typical summer conditions of high humidity, scattered showers, and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. This aligns with August climatology, where overnight lows average 26–28°C and rarely drop below 25°C due to warm sea surface temperatures and the absence of strong cold-air intrusions. Trader consensus at 96% for 27°C reflects this stability in observational data and short-range model runs, with negligible probability assigned to lower thresholds. An unexpected strengthening of onshore flow or prolonged heavy rainfall could modestly lower readings, though current guidance shows no such signals before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 5?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 5?
27°C 97%
26°C 2%
25°C 1.1%
24°C <1%
$37,489 KL.
$37,489 KL.
Aug 5, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
97%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 97%
26°C 2%
25°C 1.1%
24°C <1%
$37,489 KL.
$37,489 KL.
Aug 5, 2026
21°C or below
$541 KL.
<1%
22°C
$535 KL.
<1%
23°C
$924 KL.
<1%
24°C
$3,541 KL.
1%
25°C
$3,903 KL.
1%
26°C
$6,610 KL.
2%
27°C
$7,399 KL.
97%
28°C
$7,037 KL.
<1%
29°C
$4,842 KL.
<1%
30°C
$563 KL.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,596 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate minimum temperatures near 27°C for August 5 amid typical summer conditions of high humidity, scattered showers, and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. This aligns with August climatology, where overnight lows average 26–28°C and rarely drop below 25°C due to warm sea surface temperatures and the absence of strong cold-air intrusions. Trader consensus at 96% for 27°C reflects this stability in observational data and short-range model runs, with negligible probability assigned to lower thresholds. An unexpected strengthening of onshore flow or prolonged heavy rainfall could modestly lower readings, though current guidance shows no such signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$37,489Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate minimum temperatures near 27°C for August 5 amid typical summer conditions of high humidity, scattered showers, and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. This aligns with August climatology, where overnight lows average 26–28°C and rarely drop below 25°C due to warm sea surface temperatures and the absence of strong cold-air intrusions. Trader consensus at 96% for 27°C reflects this stability in observational data and short-range model runs, with negligible probability assigned to lower thresholds. An unexpected strengthening of onshore flow or prolonged heavy rainfall could modestly lower readings, though current guidance shows no such signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$37,489Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate minimum temperatures near 27°C for August 5 amid typical summer conditions of high humidity, scattered showers, and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. This aligns with August climatology, where overnight lows average 26–28°C and rarely drop below 25°C due to warm sea surface temperatures and the absence of strong cold-air intrusions. Trader consensus at 96% for 27°C reflects this stability in observational data and short-range model runs, with negligible probability assigned to lower thresholds. An unexpected strengthening of onshore flow or prolonged heavy rainfall could modestly lower readings, though current guidance shows no such signals before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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