Hong Kong’s subtropical summer climate, amplified by a long-term warming trend and seasonal forecast for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures from the Hong Kong Observatory, underpins the market’s concentration around 33–34 °C. On August 6, clear skies and reduced cloud cover are enabling stronger daytime heating compared with recent rainy periods that capped highs near 28–32 °C; official guidance projects a maximum near 34 °C under these conditions, with limited intensification risk from humidity or sea-surface influences. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 34 °C (47.5 %), followed by 33 °C (37 %), reflecting model consensus on the daily peak while acknowledging small upside potential to 35 °C if afternoon clearing strengthens. Resolution hinges solely on the Observatory’s verified maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?
34°C 49%
33°C 37%
35°C 8%
32°C 4%
MỚI
$130,443 KL.
MỚI
$130,443 KL.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
37%
34°C
49%
35°C
8%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
34°C 49%
33°C 37%
35°C 8%
32°C 4%
MỚI
$130,443 KL.
MỚI
$130,443 KL.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
$8,513 KL.
<1%
28°C
$2,869 KL.
<1%
29°C
$3,654 KL.
<1%
30°C
$10,994 KL.
<1%
31°C
$22,131 KL.
<1%
32°C
$29,267 KL.
4%
33°C
$19,676 KL.
37%
34°C
$12,618 KL.
49%
35°C
$12,660 KL.
8%
36°C
$6,945 KL.
1%
37°C or higher
$6,550 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong’s subtropical summer climate, amplified by a long-term warming trend and seasonal forecast for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures from the Hong Kong Observatory, underpins the market’s concentration around 33–34 °C. On August 6, clear skies and reduced cloud cover are enabling stronger daytime heating compared with recent rainy periods that capped highs near 28–32 °C; official guidance projects a maximum near 34 °C under these conditions, with limited intensification risk from humidity or sea-surface influences. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 34 °C (47.5 %), followed by 33 °C (37 %), reflecting model consensus on the daily peak while acknowledging small upside potential to 35 °C if afternoon clearing strengthens. Resolution hinges solely on the Observatory’s verified maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$130,443Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong’s subtropical summer climate, amplified by a long-term warming trend and seasonal forecast for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures from the Hong Kong Observatory, underpins the market’s concentration around 33–34 °C. On August 6, clear skies and reduced cloud cover are enabling stronger daytime heating compared with recent rainy periods that capped highs near 28–32 °C; official guidance projects a maximum near 34 °C under these conditions, with limited intensification risk from humidity or sea-surface influences. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 34 °C (47.5 %), followed by 33 °C (37 %), reflecting model consensus on the daily peak while acknowledging small upside potential to 35 °C if afternoon clearing strengthens. Resolution hinges solely on the Observatory’s verified maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$130,443Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong’s subtropical summer climate, amplified by a long-term warming trend and seasonal forecast for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures from the Hong Kong Observatory, underpins the market’s concentration around 33–34 °C. On August 6, clear skies and reduced cloud cover are enabling stronger daytime heating compared with recent rainy periods that capped highs near 28–32 °C; official guidance projects a maximum near 34 °C under these conditions, with limited intensification risk from humidity or sea-surface influences. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 34 °C (47.5 %), followed by 33 °C (37 %), reflecting model consensus on the daily peak while acknowledging small upside potential to 35 °C if afternoon clearing strengthens. Resolution hinges solely on the Observatory’s verified maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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