Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Houston on August 7 points to a daily maximum near the mid-90s as a weakening upper-level ridge allows modest cooling after early-month heat. Sea-breeze circulation and scattered afternoon convection introduce variability in peak readings, while dew points near 77–79 °F sustain high heat-index values even if air temperatures stay capped. The tight clustering of trader probabilities between the 92–93 °F and 94–95 °F bins reflects lingering spread among GFS and ECMWF runs on exact timing of onshore flow and any convective cooling, consistent with typical August climatology where highs average 93–95 °F but can shift several degrees with subtle steering changes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Houston on August 7?
92-93°F 41%
94-95°F 34%
96-97°F 15%
90-91°F 6%
85°F or below
2%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
41%
94-95°F
34%
96-97°F
15%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
1%
104°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 41%
94-95°F 34%
96-97°F 15%
90-91°F 6%
85°F or below
2%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
41%
94-95°F
34%
96-97°F
15%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
1%
104°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Houston on August 7 points to a daily maximum near the mid-90s as a weakening upper-level ridge allows modest cooling after early-month heat. Sea-breeze circulation and scattered afternoon convection introduce variability in peak readings, while dew points near 77–79 °F sustain high heat-index values even if air temperatures stay capped. The tight clustering of trader probabilities between the 92–93 °F and 94–95 °F bins reflects lingering spread among GFS and ECMWF runs on exact timing of onshore flow and any convective cooling, consistent with typical August climatology where highs average 93–95 °F but can shift several degrees with subtle steering changes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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