Official forecasts from the National Weather Service place Seattle’s Friday high near 86°F under persistent sunny, high-pressure conditions with light northerly flow and patchy smoke. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 82–87°F, where traders weigh minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any subtle marine-layer influence against the broader warm anomaly driven by El Niño-enhanced ridging. Resolution hinges on the official Sea-Tac maximum, so small differences in afternoon wind or insolation can shift the exact bin while the overall warm, dry pattern keeps probabilities away from extremes below 80°F or above 90°F.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seattle on August 7?
82-83°F 28%
84-85°F 28%
86-87°F 25%
80-81°F 9%
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
25%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 28%
84-85°F 28%
86-87°F 25%
80-81°F 9%
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
25%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service place Seattle’s Friday high near 86°F under persistent sunny, high-pressure conditions with light northerly flow and patchy smoke. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 82–87°F, where traders weigh minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any subtle marine-layer influence against the broader warm anomaly driven by El Niño-enhanced ridging. Resolution hinges on the official Sea-Tac maximum, so small differences in afternoon wind or insolation can shift the exact bin while the overall warm, dry pattern keeps probabilities away from extremes below 80°F or above 90°F.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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