Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport point to a daytime high near 90°F on August 5 under typical late-summer conditions of moderate southeasterly flow, abundant low-level moisture, and scattered afternoon convection that often limits peak heating. This aligns with the normal maximum of 91°F and explains why the 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins together capture 80% of market-implied probability. Recent model consensus and observations from prior days show light winds and cloud cover preventing stronger warming, while any delay in thunderstorm initiation could briefly push readings into the low 90s. Traders are weighting these near-term meteorological factors heavily ahead of final official readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Miami on August 5?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 5?
88-89°F 52%
90-91°F 27%
86-87°F 19%
92-93°F 4%
MỚI
$27,684 KL.
MỚI
$27,684 KL.
Aug 5, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
52%
90-91°F
27%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 52%
90-91°F 27%
86-87°F 19%
92-93°F 4%
MỚI
$27,684 KL.
MỚI
$27,684 KL.
Aug 5, 2026
77°F or below
$10,047 KL.
<1%
78-79°F
$823 KL.
<1%
80-81°F
$699 KL.
1%
82-83°F
$1,385 KL.
1%
84-85°F
$3,073 KL.
2%
86-87°F
$2,733 KL.
19%
88-89°F
$3,223 KL.
52%
90-91°F
$2,477 KL.
27%
92-93°F
$1,998 KL.
4%
94-95°F
$438 KL.
<1%
96°F or higher
$788 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport point to a daytime high near 90°F on August 5 under typical late-summer conditions of moderate southeasterly flow, abundant low-level moisture, and scattered afternoon convection that often limits peak heating. This aligns with the normal maximum of 91°F and explains why the 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins together capture 80% of market-implied probability. Recent model consensus and observations from prior days show light winds and cloud cover preventing stronger warming, while any delay in thunderstorm initiation could briefly push readings into the low 90s. Traders are weighting these near-term meteorological factors heavily ahead of final official readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$27,684Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport point to a daytime high near 90°F on August 5 under typical late-summer conditions of moderate southeasterly flow, abundant low-level moisture, and scattered afternoon convection that often limits peak heating. This aligns with the normal maximum of 91°F and explains why the 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins together capture 80% of market-implied probability. Recent model consensus and observations from prior days show light winds and cloud cover preventing stronger warming, while any delay in thunderstorm initiation could briefly push readings into the low 90s. Traders are weighting these near-term meteorological factors heavily ahead of final official readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$27,684Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport point to a daytime high near 90°F on August 5 under typical late-summer conditions of moderate southeasterly flow, abundant low-level moisture, and scattered afternoon convection that often limits peak heating. This aligns with the normal maximum of 91°F and explains why the 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins together capture 80% of market-implied probability. Recent model consensus and observations from prior days show light winds and cloud cover preventing stronger warming, while any delay in thunderstorm initiation could briefly push readings into the low 90s. Traders are weighting these near-term meteorological factors heavily ahead of final official readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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