Official observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a daily maximum of 91°F on August 4, 2026, under typical late-summer subtropical conditions of high humidity, light steering winds, and scattered afternoon convection that capped further warming. This aligns precisely with the 90-91°F bracket at 100% market-implied odds. Historical climatology shows average August highs near 89-90°F, with recent model guidance and real-time ASOS data converging on this value rather than extremes. Scenarios that could challenge the outcome remain limited to station-specific measurement revisions or unreported instrumentation issues, though National Weather Service verification makes such shifts improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Miami on August 4?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 4?
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$48,714 KL.
$48,714 KL.
Aug 4, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
100%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$48,714 KL.
$48,714 KL.
Aug 4, 2026
79°F or below
$347 KL.
<1%
80-81°F
$721 KL.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,420 KL.
<1%
84-85°F
$2,229 KL.
<1%
86-87°F
$4,515 KL.
<1%
88-89°F
$7,030 KL.
<1%
90-91°F
$13,506 KL.
100%
92-93°F
$9,083 KL.
<1%
94-95°F
$6,562 KL.
<1%
96-97°F
$2,230 KL.
<1%
98°F or higher
$1,091 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a daily maximum of 91°F on August 4, 2026, under typical late-summer subtropical conditions of high humidity, light steering winds, and scattered afternoon convection that capped further warming. This aligns precisely with the 90-91°F bracket at 100% market-implied odds. Historical climatology shows average August highs near 89-90°F, with recent model guidance and real-time ASOS data converging on this value rather than extremes. Scenarios that could challenge the outcome remain limited to station-specific measurement revisions or unreported instrumentation issues, though National Weather Service verification makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$48,714Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a daily maximum of 91°F on August 4, 2026, under typical late-summer subtropical conditions of high humidity, light steering winds, and scattered afternoon convection that capped further warming. This aligns precisely with the 90-91°F bracket at 100% market-implied odds. Historical climatology shows average August highs near 89-90°F, with recent model guidance and real-time ASOS data converging on this value rather than extremes. Scenarios that could challenge the outcome remain limited to station-specific measurement revisions or unreported instrumentation issues, though National Weather Service verification makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$48,714Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a daily maximum of 91°F on August 4, 2026, under typical late-summer subtropical conditions of high humidity, light steering winds, and scattered afternoon convection that capped further warming. This aligns precisely with the 90-91°F bracket at 100% market-implied odds. Historical climatology shows average August highs near 89-90°F, with recent model guidance and real-time ASOS data converging on this value rather than extremes. Scenarios that could challenge the outcome remain limited to station-specific measurement revisions or unreported instrumentation issues, though National Weather Service verification makes such shifts improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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