Official National Weather Service observations and ensemble model guidance for Miami International Airport indicate a daily minimum of 76-77°F on August 4 under persistent high humidity, scattered cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation typical of early-August subtropical conditions. These factors suppressed radiational cooling relative to the ~78°F climatological average, with the prior day’s 74-75°F low reinforcing trader confidence in the narrow range. The market-implied 99% probability on 76-77°F reflects skin-in-the-game consensus that current atmospheric moisture and storm activity will prevent deeper drops. Clearer skies overnight or an unexpected drier air mass could realistically shift readings into the mid-70s before final resolution, though ensemble spreads assign low likelihood to such outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Miami on August 4?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 4?
76-77°F 99.0%
74-75°F 10%
70-71°F 1.0%
69°F or below <1%
$14,291 KL.
$14,291 KL.
Aug 4, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
99%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 99.0%
74-75°F 10%
70-71°F 1.0%
69°F or below <1%
$14,291 KL.
$14,291 KL.
Aug 4, 2026
69°F or below
$567 KL.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,988 KL.
1%
72-73°F
$1,595 KL.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,100 KL.
10%
76-77°F
$1,903 KL.
99%
78-79°F
$2,618 KL.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,469 KL.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,218 KL.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,040 KL.
<1%
86-87°F
$427 KL.
<1%
88°F or higher
$367 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations and ensemble model guidance for Miami International Airport indicate a daily minimum of 76-77°F on August 4 under persistent high humidity, scattered cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation typical of early-August subtropical conditions. These factors suppressed radiational cooling relative to the ~78°F climatological average, with the prior day’s 74-75°F low reinforcing trader confidence in the narrow range. The market-implied 99% probability on 76-77°F reflects skin-in-the-game consensus that current atmospheric moisture and storm activity will prevent deeper drops. Clearer skies overnight or an unexpected drier air mass could realistically shift readings into the mid-70s before final resolution, though ensemble spreads assign low likelihood to such outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$14,291Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations and ensemble model guidance for Miami International Airport indicate a daily minimum of 76-77°F on August 4 under persistent high humidity, scattered cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation typical of early-August subtropical conditions. These factors suppressed radiational cooling relative to the ~78°F climatological average, with the prior day’s 74-75°F low reinforcing trader confidence in the narrow range. The market-implied 99% probability on 76-77°F reflects skin-in-the-game consensus that current atmospheric moisture and storm activity will prevent deeper drops. Clearer skies overnight or an unexpected drier air mass could realistically shift readings into the mid-70s before final resolution, though ensemble spreads assign low likelihood to such outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$14,291Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service observations and ensemble model guidance for Miami International Airport indicate a daily minimum of 76-77°F on August 4 under persistent high humidity, scattered cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation typical of early-August subtropical conditions. These factors suppressed radiational cooling relative to the ~78°F climatological average, with the prior day’s 74-75°F low reinforcing trader confidence in the narrow range. The market-implied 99% probability on 76-77°F reflects skin-in-the-game consensus that current atmospheric moisture and storm activity will prevent deeper drops. Clearer skies overnight or an unexpected drier air mass could realistically shift readings into the mid-70s before final resolution, though ensemble spreads assign low likelihood to such outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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