Persistent subtropical moisture, high dew points near 75°F, and scattered overnight cloud cover from daily thunderstorm activity are limiting radiational cooling and anchoring Miami’s minimum temperatures near the early-August climatological norm of 78°F. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus currently favor overnight lows of 79–80°F on August 6 under partly cloudy skies with light southeast flow, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 78–81°F. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range while acknowledging small probabilities for slightly cooler readings if clearer skies or drier air briefly intrude, versus warmer outcomes if convective debris increases. No significant frontal passages or tropical systems are expected to alter the pattern before the minimum is recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Miami on August 6?
80-81°F 32%
76-77°F 28%
78-79°F 18%
74-75°F 14%
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
5%
86°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 32%
76-77°F 28%
78-79°F 18%
74-75°F 14%
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
5%
86°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical moisture, high dew points near 75°F, and scattered overnight cloud cover from daily thunderstorm activity are limiting radiational cooling and anchoring Miami’s minimum temperatures near the early-August climatological norm of 78°F. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus currently favor overnight lows of 79–80°F on August 6 under partly cloudy skies with light southeast flow, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 78–81°F. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range while acknowledging small probabilities for slightly cooler readings if clearer skies or drier air briefly intrude, versus warmer outcomes if convective debris increases. No significant frontal passages or tropical systems are expected to alter the pattern before the minimum is recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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