Recent numerical weather prediction models from Météo-France and European ensembles show Paris maximum temperatures on August 5 settling near 28–29 °C under clear, dry anticyclonic conditions with light southwesterly flow. These outcomes dominate trader sentiment because surface observations and model consensus indicate ample solar insolation without significant cloud cover or frontal cooling, while historical August climatology for the Paris basin supports highs in this narrow band. Minor model spread around boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects keeps 27 °C and 30 °C as low-probability tails, with resolution hinging on the official Météo-France daily maximum recorded at the Parc Saint-Cloud station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on August 5?
29°C 43%
28°C 42%
27°C 10%
30°C 6.0%
$86,584 KL.
$86,584 KL.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
10%
28°C
42%
29°C
43%
30°C
6%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 43%
28°C 42%
27°C 10%
30°C 6.0%
$86,584 KL.
$86,584 KL.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
10%
28°C
42%
29°C
43%
30°C
6%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from Météo-France and European ensembles show Paris maximum temperatures on August 5 settling near 28–29 °C under clear, dry anticyclonic conditions with light southwesterly flow. These outcomes dominate trader sentiment because surface observations and model consensus indicate ample solar insolation without significant cloud cover or frontal cooling, while historical August climatology for the Paris basin supports highs in this narrow band. Minor model spread around boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects keeps 27 °C and 30 °C as low-probability tails, with resolution hinging on the official Météo-France daily maximum recorded at the Parc Saint-Cloud station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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