Recent Météo-France forecasts indicate a cooldown for Paris on August 6, 2026, with largely sunny skies and a daytime maximum around 26°C after several hotter days exceeding 30°C. This shift stems from cooler northwesterly flow replacing prior southerly advection under a weakening high-pressure ridge. Ensemble models show tight clustering near 25–27°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on 25°C (48.5%) and 26°C (31.5%) while assigning low probability to extremes. Official observations from Paris-Montsouris or similar stations will determine the exact peak, with minor local variations or timing of peak heating potentially tipping the outcome between these two leading bins. Updated model runs and any last-minute synoptic adjustments could further refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on August 6?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 6?
25°C 49%
26°C 32%
24°C 12%
27°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
12%
25°C
49%
26°C
32%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 49%
26°C 32%
24°C 12%
27°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
$346 KL.
<1%
22°C
$899 KL.
2%
23°C
$369 KL.
4%
24°C
$589 KL.
12%
25°C
$952 KL.
49%
26°C
$716 KL.
32%
27°C
$325 KL.
6%
28°C
$423 KL.
2%
29°C
$436 KL.
1%
30°C
$144 KL.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,229 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France forecasts indicate a cooldown for Paris on August 6, 2026, with largely sunny skies and a daytime maximum around 26°C after several hotter days exceeding 30°C. This shift stems from cooler northwesterly flow replacing prior southerly advection under a weakening high-pressure ridge. Ensemble models show tight clustering near 25–27°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on 25°C (48.5%) and 26°C (31.5%) while assigning low probability to extremes. Official observations from Paris-Montsouris or similar stations will determine the exact peak, with minor local variations or timing of peak heating potentially tipping the outcome between these two leading bins. Updated model runs and any last-minute synoptic adjustments could further refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$6,428Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France forecasts indicate a cooldown for Paris on August 6, 2026, with largely sunny skies and a daytime maximum around 26°C after several hotter days exceeding 30°C. This shift stems from cooler northwesterly flow replacing prior southerly advection under a weakening high-pressure ridge. Ensemble models show tight clustering near 25–27°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on 25°C (48.5%) and 26°C (31.5%) while assigning low probability to extremes. Official observations from Paris-Montsouris or similar stations will determine the exact peak, with minor local variations or timing of peak heating potentially tipping the outcome between these two leading bins. Updated model runs and any last-minute synoptic adjustments could further refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$6,428Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France forecasts indicate a cooldown for Paris on August 6, 2026, with largely sunny skies and a daytime maximum around 26°C after several hotter days exceeding 30°C. This shift stems from cooler northwesterly flow replacing prior southerly advection under a weakening high-pressure ridge. Ensemble models show tight clustering near 25–27°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on 25°C (48.5%) and 26°C (31.5%) while assigning low probability to extremes. Official observations from Paris-Montsouris or similar stations will determine the exact peak, with minor local variations or timing of peak heating potentially tipping the outcome between these two leading bins. Updated model runs and any last-minute synoptic adjustments could further refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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