Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on August 6 points to a high near 88–90°F amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and afternoon thunderstorm chances, aligning with the market’s emphasis on the 88–89°F and 90–91°F brackets. Persistent high humidity and a recent stretch of above-normal readings, including July 2026 as Miami’s second-hottest July on record, keep temperatures elevated relative to climatology, yet steering flow and convective development are expected to cap daytime maxima below the mid-90s. Ensemble model consensus favors limited insolation and sea-breeze effects that historically trim peaks by 2–4°F on similar August days, supporting the combined 72% implied probability for 88–91°F while leaving modest room for warmer outcomes if storms remain suppressed.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Miami on August 6?
88-89°F 45%
90-91°F 28%
86-87°F 24%
84-85°F 4%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
24%
88-89°F
45%
90-91°F
28%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
2%
96°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 45%
90-91°F 28%
86-87°F 24%
84-85°F 4%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
24%
88-89°F
45%
90-91°F
28%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
2%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on August 6 points to a high near 88–90°F amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and afternoon thunderstorm chances, aligning with the market’s emphasis on the 88–89°F and 90–91°F brackets. Persistent high humidity and a recent stretch of above-normal readings, including July 2026 as Miami’s second-hottest July on record, keep temperatures elevated relative to climatology, yet steering flow and convective development are expected to cap daytime maxima below the mid-90s. Ensemble model consensus favors limited insolation and sea-breeze effects that historically trim peaks by 2–4°F on similar August days, supporting the combined 72% implied probability for 88–91°F while leaving modest room for warmer outcomes if storms remain suppressed.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp