Trader consensus heavily favors a 32°C high in Shenzhen on August 5 due to consistent numerical weather model guidance and official forecasts projecting a typical midsummer subtropical peak near that threshold. Historical August averages hover around 32°C daytime maxima, supported by current observations of stable atmospheric conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited convective activity that prevent significant deviation. Recent model runs show minimal spread around this value, with no incoming cold fronts, typhoon influences, or anomalous warming expected to push readings to 33°C or higher. A brief shift in steering patterns or localized urban heat effects could allow 33°C, though current data indicate low likelihood before evening stabilization.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 5?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 5?
32°C 97%
33°C 2%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$93,080 KL.
$93,080 KL.
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
97%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 97%
33°C 2%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$93,080 KL.
$93,080 KL.
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
$566 KL.
<1%
28°C
$1,921 KL.
<1%
29°C
$4,738 KL.
<1%
30°C
$3,856 KL.
<1%
31°C
$11,711 KL.
<1%
32°C
$11,199 KL.
97%
33°C
$9,275 KL.
2%
34°C
$7,211 KL.
1%
35°C
$10,494 KL.
<1%
36°C
$10,519 KL.
<1%
37°C or higher
$21,590 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 32°C high in Shenzhen on August 5 due to consistent numerical weather model guidance and official forecasts projecting a typical midsummer subtropical peak near that threshold. Historical August averages hover around 32°C daytime maxima, supported by current observations of stable atmospheric conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited convective activity that prevent significant deviation. Recent model runs show minimal spread around this value, with no incoming cold fronts, typhoon influences, or anomalous warming expected to push readings to 33°C or higher. A brief shift in steering patterns or localized urban heat effects could allow 33°C, though current data indicate low likelihood before evening stabilization.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Khối lượng
$93,080Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 32°C high in Shenzhen on August 5 due to consistent numerical weather model guidance and official forecasts projecting a typical midsummer subtropical peak near that threshold. Historical August averages hover around 32°C daytime maxima, supported by current observations of stable atmospheric conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited convective activity that prevent significant deviation. Recent model runs show minimal spread around this value, with no incoming cold fronts, typhoon influences, or anomalous warming expected to push readings to 33°C or higher. A brief shift in steering patterns or localized urban heat effects could allow 33°C, though current data indicate low likelihood before evening stabilization.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$93,080Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a 32°C high in Shenzhen on August 5 due to consistent numerical weather model guidance and official forecasts projecting a typical midsummer subtropical peak near that threshold. Historical August averages hover around 32°C daytime maxima, supported by current observations of stable atmospheric conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited convective activity that prevent significant deviation. Recent model runs show minimal spread around this value, with no incoming cold fronts, typhoon influences, or anomalous warming expected to push readings to 33°C or higher. A brief shift in steering patterns or localized urban heat effects could allow 33°C, though current data indicate low likelihood before evening stabilization.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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