Trader consensus favoring 30–31°C for Panama City’s August 6 maximum reflects ensemble model guidance showing typical wet-season conditions, with moderate convection and high humidity expected to limit daytime peaks near the climatological average of 29–32°C. Regional atmospheric patterns, including influence from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, promote afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers that cap surface heating, creating tight differentiation between those two outcomes. Minor variations in forecast timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture account for the split probabilities, while historical analogs confirm rare exceedance of 33°C under similar setups. Official observations from Panama’s meteorological service will determine resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Panama City on August 6?
30°C 35%
31°C 35%
29°C 18%
32°C 7%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
6%
29°C
18%
30°C
35%
31°C
35%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 35%
31°C 35%
29°C 18%
32°C 7%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
6%
29°C
18%
30°C
35%
31°C
35%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favoring 30–31°C for Panama City’s August 6 maximum reflects ensemble model guidance showing typical wet-season conditions, with moderate convection and high humidity expected to limit daytime peaks near the climatological average of 29–32°C. Regional atmospheric patterns, including influence from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, promote afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers that cap surface heating, creating tight differentiation between those two outcomes. Minor variations in forecast timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture account for the split probabilities, while historical analogs confirm rare exceedance of 33°C under similar setups. Official observations from Panama’s meteorological service will determine resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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