Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and European models indicate a cooldown across northern France on August 6, driven by a northerly flow of cooler maritime air replacing prior heat, with minimum temperatures projected near 14–16°C in the pre-dawn hours under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus around 15°C (45% implied probability), as ensemble runs show limited variability in overnight radiative cooling and dew-point suppression. Historical August minima in Paris average 14–15°C, providing context, while any shift in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could nudge the low slightly higher or lower before resolution. Updated model guidance expected overnight will further refine these probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on August 6?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 6?
15°C 46%
16°C 27%
14°C 25%
13°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 6, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
25%
15°C
46%
16°C
27%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
15°C 46%
16°C 27%
14°C 25%
13°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 6, 2026
12°C or below
$84 KL.
1%
13°C
$127 KL.
5%
14°C
$657 KL.
25%
15°C
$218 KL.
46%
16°C
$143 KL.
27%
17°C
$849 KL.
1%
18°C
$170 KL.
1%
19°C
$63 KL.
1%
20°C
$150 KL.
<1%
21°C
$60 KL.
<1%
22°C or higher
$60 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and European models indicate a cooldown across northern France on August 6, driven by a northerly flow of cooler maritime air replacing prior heat, with minimum temperatures projected near 14–16°C in the pre-dawn hours under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus around 15°C (45% implied probability), as ensemble runs show limited variability in overnight radiative cooling and dew-point suppression. Historical August minima in Paris average 14–15°C, providing context, while any shift in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could nudge the low slightly higher or lower before resolution. Updated model guidance expected overnight will further refine these probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,581Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and European models indicate a cooldown across northern France on August 6, driven by a northerly flow of cooler maritime air replacing prior heat, with minimum temperatures projected near 14–16°C in the pre-dawn hours under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus around 15°C (45% implied probability), as ensemble runs show limited variability in overnight radiative cooling and dew-point suppression. Historical August minima in Paris average 14–15°C, providing context, while any shift in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could nudge the low slightly higher or lower before resolution. Updated model guidance expected overnight will further refine these probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,581Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and European models indicate a cooldown across northern France on August 6, driven by a northerly flow of cooler maritime air replacing prior heat, with minimum temperatures projected near 14–16°C in the pre-dawn hours under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus around 15°C (45% implied probability), as ensemble runs show limited variability in overnight radiative cooling and dew-point suppression. Historical August minima in Paris average 14–15°C, providing context, while any shift in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could nudge the low slightly higher or lower before resolution. Updated model guidance expected overnight will further refine these probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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