The market consensus on an 84-85°F high for Chicago on August 4 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at Chicago Midway International Airport, which fell squarely in that narrow band per National Weather Service climatological data. Early August conditions aligned closely with 1991-2020 normals near 84°F, with limited deviation from model guidance and no significant heat wave or cool front to shift outcomes. This outcome matches historical patterns for the period, where daily highs rarely stray far from the seasonal baseline absent strong synoptic forcing. A measurement revision between Midway and O'Hare stations or an unreported data correction could theoretically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary reports are finalized.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on August 4?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 4?
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$37,731 KL.
$37,731 KL.
Aug 4, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$37,731 KL.
$37,731 KL.
Aug 4, 2026
75°F or below
$638 KL.
<1%
76-77°F
$539 KL.
<1%
78-79°F
$3,190 KL.
<1%
80-81°F
$2,239 KL.
<1%
82-83°F
$8,405 KL.
<1%
84-85°F
$8,465 KL.
100%
86-87°F
$6,680 KL.
<1%
88-89°F
$3,484 KL.
<1%
90-91°F
$2,709 KL.
<1%
92-93°F
$741 KL.
<1%
94°F or higher
$643 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market consensus on an 84-85°F high for Chicago on August 4 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at Chicago Midway International Airport, which fell squarely in that narrow band per National Weather Service climatological data. Early August conditions aligned closely with 1991-2020 normals near 84°F, with limited deviation from model guidance and no significant heat wave or cool front to shift outcomes. This outcome matches historical patterns for the period, where daily highs rarely stray far from the seasonal baseline absent strong synoptic forcing. A measurement revision between Midway and O'Hare stations or an unreported data correction could theoretically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary reports are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$37,731Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market consensus on an 84-85°F high for Chicago on August 4 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at Chicago Midway International Airport, which fell squarely in that narrow band per National Weather Service climatological data. Early August conditions aligned closely with 1991-2020 normals near 84°F, with limited deviation from model guidance and no significant heat wave or cool front to shift outcomes. This outcome matches historical patterns for the period, where daily highs rarely stray far from the seasonal baseline absent strong synoptic forcing. A measurement revision between Midway and O'Hare stations or an unreported data correction could theoretically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary reports are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$37,731Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market consensus on an 84-85°F high for Chicago on August 4 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at Chicago Midway International Airport, which fell squarely in that narrow band per National Weather Service climatological data. Early August conditions aligned closely with 1991-2020 normals near 84°F, with limited deviation from model guidance and no significant heat wave or cool front to shift outcomes. This outcome matches historical patterns for the period, where daily highs rarely stray far from the seasonal baseline absent strong synoptic forcing. A measurement revision between Midway and O'Hare stations or an unreported data correction could theoretically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary reports are finalized.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp