Recent NOAA and private weather model consensus points to a high around 82–85°F for Chicago on August 7, supporting the market's tight clustering around those bins amid modest uncertainty. A moderating southwesterly flow and partial cloud cover are expected to limit afternoon heating, while lake-breeze effects and scattered showers or thunderstorms could further cap peak readings near official reporting sites. Historical August normals near 83–84°F provide context, yet short-term variability in convective timing and boundary-layer moisture keeps the 86–87°F outcome competitive. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through tonight remain key inputs for final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on August 7?
84-85°F 40%
86-87°F 31%
82-83°F 16%
88-89°F 9%
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
40%
86-87°F
31%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 40%
86-87°F 31%
82-83°F 16%
88-89°F 9%
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
40%
86-87°F
31%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NOAA and private weather model consensus points to a high around 82–85°F for Chicago on August 7, supporting the market's tight clustering around those bins amid modest uncertainty. A moderating southwesterly flow and partial cloud cover are expected to limit afternoon heating, while lake-breeze effects and scattered showers or thunderstorms could further cap peak readings near official reporting sites. Historical August normals near 83–84°F provide context, yet short-term variability in convective timing and boundary-layer moisture keeps the 86–87°F outcome competitive. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through tonight remain key inputs for final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp