Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature range of 27–33°C for August 6, driven by light winds, mainly fine conditions, and persistently hot, humid air masses typical of the season. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal to above-normal temperatures through October amid long-term warming trends, with no significant cool intrusions or tropical systems expected to lower overnight readings. Model consensus and climatological baselines (average August lows near 26–28°C) position 27°C as the most probable outcome, closely followed by 28°C, while probabilities for 26°C or below remain low absent unexpected cloud cover or rainfall. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing could refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?
27°C 50%
28°C 37%
26°C 8%
24°C 5%
$16,529 KL.
$16,529 KL.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C
8%
27°C
50%
28°C
37%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 50%
28°C 37%
26°C 8%
24°C 5%
$16,529 KL.
$16,529 KL.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C
8%
27°C
50%
28°C
37%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature range of 27–33°C for August 6, driven by light winds, mainly fine conditions, and persistently hot, humid air masses typical of the season. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal to above-normal temperatures through October amid long-term warming trends, with no significant cool intrusions or tropical systems expected to lower overnight readings. Model consensus and climatological baselines (average August lows near 26–28°C) position 27°C as the most probable outcome, closely followed by 28°C, while probabilities for 26°C or below remain low absent unexpected cloud cover or rainfall. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing could refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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