Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and UK meteorological outlooks point to overnight lows of 13–14°C in London on August 6, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C (59.5%) and 14°C (26.5%). Seasonal climatology shows typical August minimums near 13°C, with current high-pressure influences and a post-heatwave moderation preventing sharper drops. Model consensus indicates limited nocturnal cooling under mild, mostly settled conditions rather than strong radiational effects or Atlantic fronts, keeping probabilities for 13°C or below under 7%. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office will likely refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on August 6?
Lowest temperature in London on August 6?
15°C 60%
14°C 27%
16°C 7%
13°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 6, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
6%
14°C
27%
15°C
60%
16°C
7%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 60%
14°C 27%
16°C 7%
13°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 6, 2026
10°C or below
$396 KL.
<1%
11°C
$276 KL.
<1%
12°C
$321 KL.
1%
13°C
$345 KL.
6%
14°C
$866 KL.
27%
15°C
$2,531 KL.
60%
16°C
$337 KL.
7%
17°C
$327 KL.
2%
18°C
$423 KL.
<1%
19°C
$175 KL.
<1%
20°C or higher
$180 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and UK meteorological outlooks point to overnight lows of 13–14°C in London on August 6, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C (59.5%) and 14°C (26.5%). Seasonal climatology shows typical August minimums near 13°C, with current high-pressure influences and a post-heatwave moderation preventing sharper drops. Model consensus indicates limited nocturnal cooling under mild, mostly settled conditions rather than strong radiational effects or Atlantic fronts, keeping probabilities for 13°C or below under 7%. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office will likely refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$6,177Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and UK meteorological outlooks point to overnight lows of 13–14°C in London on August 6, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C (59.5%) and 14°C (26.5%). Seasonal climatology shows typical August minimums near 13°C, with current high-pressure influences and a post-heatwave moderation preventing sharper drops. Model consensus indicates limited nocturnal cooling under mild, mostly settled conditions rather than strong radiational effects or Atlantic fronts, keeping probabilities for 13°C or below under 7%. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office will likely refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$6,177Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and UK meteorological outlooks point to overnight lows of 13–14°C in London on August 6, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C (59.5%) and 14°C (26.5%). Seasonal climatology shows typical August minimums near 13°C, with current high-pressure influences and a post-heatwave moderation preventing sharper drops. Model consensus indicates limited nocturnal cooling under mild, mostly settled conditions rather than strong radiational effects or Atlantic fronts, keeping probabilities for 13°C or below under 7%. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office will likely refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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