Latest forecasts from agencies including AccuWeather and the Met Office project Warsaw's peak temperature on August 5 near 37°C under mostly cloudy, high-heat conditions with a red warning in effect, aligning with the market's leading 37°C outcome at 41% implied probability ahead of 36°C (26%) and 38°C (22.5%). Persistent warm air advection following Poland's record 40.5°C national high in late June sustains elevated readings well above the August climatological average of 23–25°C, though model consensus shows limited further intensification today. Official observations and updated runs will determine final resolution as the day progresses.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 5?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 5?
37°C 43%
36°C 26%
38°C 22%
39°C 4%
$43,226 KL.
$43,226 KL.
Aug 5, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
26%
37°C
43%
38°C
22%
39°C
4%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
37°C 43%
36°C 26%
38°C 22%
39°C 4%
$43,226 KL.
$43,226 KL.
Aug 5, 2026
31°C or below
$6,369 KL.
<1%
32°C
$5,272 KL.
1%
33°C
$3,197 KL.
1%
34°C
$2,635 KL.
1%
35°C
$5,502 KL.
3%
36°C
$2,379 KL.
26%
37°C
$2,029 KL.
43%
38°C
$5,862 KL.
22%
39°C
$5,915 KL.
4%
40°C
$2,676 KL.
1%
41°C or higher
$1,389 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from agencies including AccuWeather and the Met Office project Warsaw's peak temperature on August 5 near 37°C under mostly cloudy, high-heat conditions with a red warning in effect, aligning with the market's leading 37°C outcome at 41% implied probability ahead of 36°C (26%) and 38°C (22.5%). Persistent warm air advection following Poland's record 40.5°C national high in late June sustains elevated readings well above the August climatological average of 23–25°C, though model consensus shows limited further intensification today. Official observations and updated runs will determine final resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$43,226Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from agencies including AccuWeather and the Met Office project Warsaw's peak temperature on August 5 near 37°C under mostly cloudy, high-heat conditions with a red warning in effect, aligning with the market's leading 37°C outcome at 41% implied probability ahead of 36°C (26%) and 38°C (22.5%). Persistent warm air advection following Poland's record 40.5°C national high in late June sustains elevated readings well above the August climatological average of 23–25°C, though model consensus shows limited further intensification today. Official observations and updated runs will determine final resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$43,226Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from agencies including AccuWeather and the Met Office project Warsaw's peak temperature on August 5 near 37°C under mostly cloudy, high-heat conditions with a red warning in effect, aligning with the market's leading 37°C outcome at 41% implied probability ahead of 36°C (26%) and 38°C (22.5%). Persistent warm air advection following Poland's record 40.5°C national high in late June sustains elevated readings well above the August climatological average of 23–25°C, though model consensus shows limited further intensification today. Official observations and updated runs will determine final resolution as the day progresses.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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