Recent forecasts for Wuhan point to a maximum temperature near 36°C on August 6, driven by the region's subtropical monsoon climate with high humidity and typical August diurnal heating patterns. Official guidance and ensemble models show limited potential for stronger daytime warming or cooling from thundery showers, creating tight differentiation between the 36°C and 37°C outcomes that currently dominate trader positioning. Historical August highs average 32–33°C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal conditions without extreme heat signals. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and any revised China Meteorological Administration outlooks remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities between these closely matched levels.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 6?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 6?
37°C 36%
36°C 34%
35°C 16%
38°C 9%
MỚI
$11,543 KL.
MỚI
$11,543 KL.
Aug 6, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
6%
35°C
16%
36°C
34%
37°C
36%
38°C
9%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
37°C 36%
36°C 34%
35°C 16%
38°C 9%
MỚI
$11,543 KL.
MỚI
$11,543 KL.
Aug 6, 2026
30°C or below
$242 KL.
<1%
31°C
$484 KL.
<1%
32°C
$280 KL.
<1%
33°C
$377 KL.
2%
34°C
$252 KL.
6%
35°C
$3,251 KL.
16%
36°C
$2,249 KL.
34%
37°C
$3,472 KL.
36%
38°C
$532 KL.
9%
39°C
$139 KL.
<1%
40°C or higher
$264 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan point to a maximum temperature near 36°C on August 6, driven by the region's subtropical monsoon climate with high humidity and typical August diurnal heating patterns. Official guidance and ensemble models show limited potential for stronger daytime warming or cooling from thundery showers, creating tight differentiation between the 36°C and 37°C outcomes that currently dominate trader positioning. Historical August highs average 32–33°C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal conditions without extreme heat signals. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and any revised China Meteorological Administration outlooks remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities between these closely matched levels.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,543Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan point to a maximum temperature near 36°C on August 6, driven by the region's subtropical monsoon climate with high humidity and typical August diurnal heating patterns. Official guidance and ensemble models show limited potential for stronger daytime warming or cooling from thundery showers, creating tight differentiation between the 36°C and 37°C outcomes that currently dominate trader positioning. Historical August highs average 32–33°C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal conditions without extreme heat signals. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and any revised China Meteorological Administration outlooks remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities between these closely matched levels.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$11,543Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wuhan point to a maximum temperature near 36°C on August 6, driven by the region's subtropical monsoon climate with high humidity and typical August diurnal heating patterns. Official guidance and ensemble models show limited potential for stronger daytime warming or cooling from thundery showers, creating tight differentiation between the 36°C and 37°C outcomes that currently dominate trader positioning. Historical August highs average 32–33°C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal conditions without extreme heat signals. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and any revised China Meteorological Administration outlooks remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities between these closely matched levels.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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