Latest numerical weather model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration supports a maximum temperature of 37°C in Beijing on August 5, driving the near-certain market-implied probability. Persistent summer heat patterns, combined with limited cloud cover and weak steering winds under current atmospheric conditions, align with this outcome based on verified observational baselines and ensemble forecasts. Historical August climatology shows frequent highs above 35°C early in the month, reinforcing trader positioning. Uncertainties remain due to potential model divergence in short-range runs or sudden convective activity that could cap temperatures lower; updated guidance from official monitoring sources over the next few hours will provide key resolution data ahead of daily reporting thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on August 5?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 5?
37°C 99.8%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$40,736 KL.
$40,736 KL.
Aug 5, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
100%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
37°C 99.8%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$40,736 KL.
$40,736 KL.
Aug 5, 2026
29°C or below
$308 KL.
<1%
30°C
$1,024 KL.
<1%
31°C
$1,381 KL.
<1%
32°C
$2,340 KL.
<1%
33°C
$4,393 KL.
<1%
34°C
$4,208 KL.
<1%
35°C
$5,232 KL.
<1%
36°C
$5,374 KL.
<1%
37°C
$6,767 KL.
100%
38°C
$5,932 KL.
<1%
39°C or higher
$3,776 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration supports a maximum temperature of 37°C in Beijing on August 5, driving the near-certain market-implied probability. Persistent summer heat patterns, combined with limited cloud cover and weak steering winds under current atmospheric conditions, align with this outcome based on verified observational baselines and ensemble forecasts. Historical August climatology shows frequent highs above 35°C early in the month, reinforcing trader positioning. Uncertainties remain due to potential model divergence in short-range runs or sudden convective activity that could cap temperatures lower; updated guidance from official monitoring sources over the next few hours will provide key resolution data ahead of daily reporting thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$40,736Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration supports a maximum temperature of 37°C in Beijing on August 5, driving the near-certain market-implied probability. Persistent summer heat patterns, combined with limited cloud cover and weak steering winds under current atmospheric conditions, align with this outcome based on verified observational baselines and ensemble forecasts. Historical August climatology shows frequent highs above 35°C early in the month, reinforcing trader positioning. Uncertainties remain due to potential model divergence in short-range runs or sudden convective activity that could cap temperatures lower; updated guidance from official monitoring sources over the next few hours will provide key resolution data ahead of daily reporting thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$40,736Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration supports a maximum temperature of 37°C in Beijing on August 5, driving the near-certain market-implied probability. Persistent summer heat patterns, combined with limited cloud cover and weak steering winds under current atmospheric conditions, align with this outcome based on verified observational baselines and ensemble forecasts. Historical August climatology shows frequent highs above 35°C early in the month, reinforcing trader positioning. Uncertainties remain due to potential model divergence in short-range runs or sudden convective activity that could cap temperatures lower; updated guidance from official monitoring sources over the next few hours will provide key resolution data ahead of daily reporting thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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